TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ladislav Vosyka vs Martin Chmelicek 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111513115113––
Martin Chmelicek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Martin Chmelicek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 74 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 59.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 17–7 Martin Chmelicek Martin Chmelicek has won 7 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:12What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-7 in 24
Vosyka
Correct
gap of 10 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1493 vs Chmelicek 1471
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 40% vs Chmelicek 80%
Chmelicek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 50% vs Chmelicek 80%
Chmelicek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka +2 · Chmelicek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chmelicek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.61 / Chmelicek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Vosyka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13182937
Vosyka1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 87 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it73% 58 of 80
Chmelicek2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 66 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back14% 14 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka6wins
AwayChmelicek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka66.7%4 of 6
AwayChmelicek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka6Chmelicek4n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S2Vosyka7Chmelicek3n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S3Vosyka4Chmelicek6n = 10Chmelicek took 6 of 10
S4Vosyka6Chmelicek2n = 8Vosyka took 6 of 8
S5Vosyka2Chmelicek3n = 5Chmelicek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaChmelicekV − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.339.1+2.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaChmelicekBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 468 vs 251 / 53251.5%47.2%241 / 468 vs 251 / 532Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.61/Chmelicek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 19:05L. Vosyka4251511113M. Chmelicek321113531
LSep 22 · 19:05L. Vosyka4111551192M. Chmelicek49711119113
LSep 20 · 21:44L. Vosyka391199101M. Chmelicek4171111123
WSep 20 · 19:35L. Vosyka51111298113M. Chmelicek50910111192
WSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka331111113M. Chmelicek175840
LSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka3551141142M. Chmelicek46117116113
WAug 27 · 18:35L. Vosyka341211113M. Chmelicek2210660
WAug 23 · 21:35L. Vosyka45921211113M. Chmelicek46111110682
WAug 23 · 19:35L. Vosyka47111411113M. Chmelicek417121391
LAug 16 · 19:35L. Vosyka46712111152M. Chmelicek471110132113
L. Vosyka10
LSep 23 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.809960J. Martin1.911111113WSep 23 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.3671111113M. Jinek3.00115781WSep 22 · 21:05M. Jinek2.63117951L. Vosyka1.4471111113LSep 22 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.9151151192J. Kabelka1.80119114113LSep 22 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.5311551192M. Chmelicek2.38711119113LSep 22 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.22615711102M. Jinek4.001113116123LSep 21 · 21:35J. Martin1.86117118113L. Vosyka1.7491191182LSep 21 · 20:05J. Martin2.2011112123L. Vosyka1.617511101WSep 21 · 19:35M. Jinek2.507750L. Vosyka1.501111113WSep 21 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.911111113T. Krcil1.804960
M. Chmelicek10
WSep 23 · 18:35J. Martin1.80811111132M. Chmelicek1.91119813113LSep 23 · 17:40M. Chmelicek2.25119881P. Chvatal1.5791111113WSep 23 · 16:35T. Motacek1.5051111992M. Chmelicek2.50113911113WSep 23 · 15:35M. Chmelicek2.381111123D. Hons1.5399100WSep 23 · 14:05P. Chvatal1.501011811102M. Chmelicek2.50128118123WSep 22 · 21:35M. Chmelicek2.0011911113J. Kabelka1.73311981WSep 22 · 20:35M. Chmelicek1.301113113M. Jinek3.4061130WSep 22 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.5311551192M. Chmelicek2.38711119113WSep 22 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.73613871M. Chmelicek2.00111111113LSep 22 · 16:35M. Chmelicek1.83911111182P. Pesout1.83116613113
Upcoming Matches
L. Vosyka
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M. Chmelicek
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