TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marek Tkocz vs Michal Paszkiewicz 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Marek Tkocz
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412118114––––
Michal Paszkiewicz
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:47 and never touched — 75.9% is still 75.9%
Graded at full timeMarek Tkocz to win
75.9%
75.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
1412118114––––
H2H Marek Tkocz 24–4 Michal Paszkiewicz Michal Paszkiewicz has won 4 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:47What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Tkocz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-4 in 28
Tkocz
Correct
gap of 20 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkocz 1447 vs Paszkiewicz 1366
Tkocz
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkocz 100% vs Paszkiewicz 20%
Tkocz
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkocz 80% vs Paszkiewicz 30%
Tkocz
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkocz +8 · Paszkiewicz -2
Tkocz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paszkiewicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkocz 1.57 / Paszkiewicz 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Tkocz)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13180699
Tkocz1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 288 of 431
Up 2–0, closes it95% 161 of 170
Up 1–0, closes it85% 236 of 279
Paszkiewicz2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 79 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkocz8wins
AwayPaszkiewicz2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTkocz leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkocz100%6 of 6
AwayPaszkiewicz50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkocz6Paszkiewicz4n = 10Tkocz took 6 of 10
S2Tkocz8Paszkiewicz2n = 10Tkocz took 8 of 10
S3Tkocz6Paszkiewicz4n = 10Tkocz took 6 of 10
S4Tkocz4Paszkiewicz2n = 6Tkocz took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkoczPaszkiewiczT − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.428.9+7.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkoczPaszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime784 / 1180 vs 422 / 78966.4%53.5%784 / 1180 vs 422 / 789Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczTkocz 1.57/Paszkiewicz 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tkocz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 23:35M. Tkocz3811511113M. Paszkiewicz32911931
LJul 31 · 09:30M. Tkocz182970M. Paszkiewicz331111113
WJul 29 · 03:10M. Tkocz45111112113M. Paszkiewicz321371021
WJul 24 · 05:10M. Tkocz331111113M. Paszkiewicz248790
WJul 8 · 08:20M. Tkocz4281111123M. Paszkiewicz311137101
LJul 3 · 06:00M. Tkocz31811481M. Paszkiewicz4211911113
WJun 5 · 02:20M. Tkocz48111196113M. Paszkiewicz4029111172
WMay 8 · 06:25M. Tkocz331111113M. Paszkiewicz113530
WMay 8 · 02:45M. Tkocz331111113M. Paszkiewicz137510
WMay 6 · 08:25M. Tkocz4311119123M. Paszkiewicz317311101
M. Tkocz10
WSep 22 · 22:25P. Adamus1.751110231M. Tkocz1.9551211113WSep 22 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.80111176113M. Lebek1.9098111192WSep 22 · 20:00M. Tkocz1.101111113K. Kowalski4.502450WSep 22 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.57611611113R. Gajda2.2011611942WSep 22 · 17:35M. Tkocz1.7511911113P. Kaczynski1.95611881WSep 22 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.659550M. Tkocz1.401111113WSep 22 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.651161112113P. Kurek2.0541171472WSep 18 · 02:20M. Adamus2.45661161M. Tkocz1.4411118113LSep 18 · 01:35P. Polok1.731111123M. Tkocz1.9255100LSep 17 · 23:35M. Koczyba1.8511411113M. Tkocz1.85711981
M. Paszkiewicz10
LSep 22 · 22:50P. Kurek1.701111113M. Paszkiewicz1.954660LSep 22 · 21:10P. Adamus1.8291111113M. Paszkiewicz1.88118691WSep 20 · 08:20P. Zemla1.461211861M. Paszkiewicz2.5014711113LSep 20 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.761111153M. Paszkiewicz1.9037130LSep 20 · 05:35K. Juszczyk1.80511511113M. Paszkiewicz1.8611311572LSep 20 · 04:50M. Adamus1.78811111143M. Paszkiewicz1.91111155122WSep 20 · 03:10W. Urban1.908370M. Paszkiewicz1.801111113LSep 18 · 17:05G. Wichowski1.65115612113M. Paszkiewicz2.10811111062LSep 18 · 15:55M. Paszkiewicz1.6811811462W. Tobiasz2.05811311113WSep 18 · 14:45O. Jadach1.57813111192M. Paszkiewicz2.201111136113
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