TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Nohejl 2005 vs Petr Saleny 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116111113––––
Petr Saleny
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl 2005 above · Petr Saleny below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 43 set 3, 11-3
43 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 2005 15–6 Petr Saleny Petr Saleny has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 1h before this match
Nohejl beat Saleny 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Nohejl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.40 / Saleny 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Nohejl)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13180534
Nohejl1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 62 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 46 of 59
Saleny2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 31 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl9wins
AwaySaleny1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderNohejl leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl100%8 of 8
AwaySalenyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl8Saleny2n = 10Nohejl took 8 of 10
S2Nohejl8Saleny2n = 10Nohejl took 8 of 10
S3Nohejl9Saleny1n = 10Nohejl took 9 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlSalenyN − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.925.5+11.4per matchSweeps71+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlSalenyBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 318 vs 206 / 40654.7%50.7%174 / 318 vs 206 / 406Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.40/Saleny 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 20:30V. Nohejl341211113P. Saleny2010640
LSep 22 · 16:58V. Nohejl25104110P. Saleny361211133
WSep 22 · 16:00V. Nohejl361411113P. Saleny2712960
WJul 5 · 10:30V. Nohejl361411113P. Saleny2412390
WJul 5 · 09:00V. Nohejl46121211113P. Saleny301014331
WJul 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl331111113P. Saleny132650
WJul 4 · 11:00V. Nohejl401811113P. Saleny3016590
WApr 30 · 16:00V. Nohejl331111113P. Saleny125340
WApr 27 · 20:00V. Nohejl331111113P. Saleny133820
WApr 23 · 17:28V. Nohejl536111312113P. Saleny50116111482
V. Nohejl10
WSep 22 · 20:30P. Saleny2.7510640V. Nohejl1.401211113LSep 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl1.6791112121R. Urbaniec2.1011514143WSep 22 · 18:30O. Cmerda1.6141151272V. Nohejl2.201191110113LSep 22 · 16:58P. Saleny3.251211133V. Nohejl1.33104110WSep 22 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.361411113P. Saleny3.0012960LSep 22 · 15:30V. Kolar2.2571113113V. Nohejl1.571141131LSep 22 · 14:00V. Nohejl2.756630M. Pikous1.401111113WSep 18 · 17:30V. Nohejl1.671111117123R. Urbaniec2.10713511102WSep 18 · 16:00O. Svacha2.758116121V. Nohejl1.4011411143WSep 18 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.1011891172V. Nohejl1.67711115113
P. Saleny10
LSep 22 · 20:30P. Saleny2.7510640V. Nohejl1.401211113LSep 22 · 19:00P. Saleny1.838111191O. Cmerda1.8311138113LSep 22 · 18:00R. Urbaniec1.4411511113P. Saleny2.63911851WSep 22 · 16:58P. Saleny3.251211133V. Nohejl1.33104110LSep 22 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.361411113P. Saleny3.0012960WSep 22 · 15:00M. Pikous2.2046131162P. Saleny1.611111119113LSep 22 · 14:30P. Saleny2.0011661132V. Kolar1.73611114113WSep 19 · 12:58M. Wagner1.5349100P. Saleny2.381111123LSep 19 · 12:00M. Wagner1.531811133P. Saleny2.38163110LSep 19 · 11:00F. Pusch1.831411113P. Saleny1.8312550
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