TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Saleny vs Vaclav Nohejl 2005 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Petr Saleny
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012611411––––
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl 2005 to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Saleny above · Vaclav Nohejl 2005 below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 54 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl 2005 at 70.4%
54 points played in total.
H2H Petr Saleny 6–15 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 Petr Saleny has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 4h before this match
Saleny beat Nohejl 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Nohejl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-15 in 21
Nohejl
Correct
gap of 9 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Saleny 1689 vs Nohejl 1717
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Saleny 40% vs Nohejl 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Saleny 40% vs Nohejl 60%
Nohejl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Saleny -2 · Nohejl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaleny 2.75 / Nohejl 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Nohejl)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169991
Saleny2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 31 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Nohejl1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 62 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 46 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSaleny1wins
AwayNohejl9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderNohejl leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSalenyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayNohejl100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Saleny2Nohejl8n = 10Nohejl took 8 of 10
S2Saleny2Nohejl8n = 10Nohejl took 8 of 10
S3Saleny1Nohejl9n = 10Nohejl took 9 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away770%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalenyNohejlS − NBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match25.536.9−11.4per matchSweeps17−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalenyNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 406 vs 174 / 31850.7%54.7%206 / 406 vs 174 / 318Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlSaleny 2.75/Nohejl 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 20:30P. Saleny2010640V. Nohejl341211113
WSep 22 · 16:58P. Saleny361211133V. Nohejl25104110
LSep 22 · 16:00P. Saleny2712960V. Nohejl361411113
LJul 5 · 10:30P. Saleny2412390V. Nohejl361411113
LJul 5 · 09:00P. Saleny301014331V. Nohejl46121211113
LJul 5 · 08:00P. Saleny132650V. Nohejl331111113
LJul 4 · 11:00P. Saleny3016590V. Nohejl401811113
LApr 30 · 16:00P. Saleny125340V. Nohejl331111113
LApr 27 · 20:00P. Saleny133820V. Nohejl331111113
LApr 23 · 17:28P. Saleny50116111482V. Nohejl536111312113
P. Saleny10
LSep 22 · 20:58V. Nohejl1.401111113P. Saleny2.756130LSep 22 · 19:00P. Saleny1.838111191O. Cmerda1.8311138113LSep 22 · 18:00R. Urbaniec1.4411511113P. Saleny2.63911851WSep 22 · 16:58P. Saleny3.251211133V. Nohejl1.33104110LSep 22 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.361411113P. Saleny3.0012960WSep 22 · 15:00M. Pikous2.2046131162P. Saleny1.611111119113LSep 22 · 14:30P. Saleny2.0011661132V. Kolar1.73611114113WSep 19 · 12:58M. Wagner1.5349100P. Saleny2.381111123LSep 19 · 12:00M. Wagner1.531811133P. Saleny2.38163110LSep 19 · 11:00F. Pusch1.831411113P. Saleny1.8312550
V. Nohejl10
WSep 22 · 20:58V. Nohejl1.401111113P. Saleny2.756130LSep 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl1.6791112121R. Urbaniec2.1011514143WSep 22 · 18:30O. Cmerda1.6141151272V. Nohejl2.201191110113LSep 22 · 16:58P. Saleny3.251211133V. Nohejl1.33104110WSep 22 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.361411113P. Saleny3.0012960LSep 22 · 15:30V. Kolar2.2571113113V. Nohejl1.571141131LSep 22 · 14:00V. Nohejl2.756630M. Pikous1.401111113WSep 18 · 17:30V. Nohejl1.671111117123R. Urbaniec2.10713511102WSep 18 · 16:00O. Svacha2.758116121V. Nohejl1.4011411143WSep 18 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.1011891172V. Nohejl1.67711115113
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