TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Myroslav Loboda vs Yaroslav Vorsuliak 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11911138111210118
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 104 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 67.9%
104 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 72–44 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 44 of their 116 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
72-44 in 116
Loboda
Correct
gap of 28 in 116, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1710 vs Vorsuliak 1610
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 60% vs Vorsuliak 20%
Loboda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 50% vs Vorsuliak 30%
Loboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda +1 · Vorsuliak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorsuliak form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.40 / Vorsuliak 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Loboda)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13180239
Loboda1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite57% won 158 of 278
Up 2–0, closes it92% 96 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it74% 131 of 176
Vorsuliak2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 72 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back21% 23 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda8wins
AwayVorsuliak2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLoboda leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda87.5%7 of 8
AwayVorsuliakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda8Vorsuliak2n = 10Loboda took 8 of 10
S2Loboda5Vorsuliak5n = 10split evenly
S3Loboda6Vorsuliak4n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S4Loboda5Vorsuliak3n = 8Loboda took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaVorsuliakL − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.436.0+4.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime495 / 957 vs 446 / 89051.7%50.1%495 / 957 vs 446 / 890Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.40/Vorsuliak 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 20:15M. Loboda341111123Y. Vorsuliak1936100
LSep 21 · 02:00M. Loboda4311131091Y. Vorsuliak4681512113
WSep 18 · 08:35M. Loboda331111113Y. Vorsuliak249870
WSep 17 · 12:35M. Loboda3611311113Y. Vorsuliak29311691
LSep 17 · 01:00M. Loboda31741371Y. Vorsuliak44111111113
WSep 11 · 08:35M. Loboda3711114113Y. Vorsuliak29631191
WSep 10 · 12:35M. Loboda4311138113Y. Vorsuliak346111161
WSep 10 · 01:00M. Loboda541181112123Y. Vorsuliak51811814102
WSep 6 · 17:35M. Loboda44811311113Y. Vorsuliak4411611882
WSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda49111411133Y. Vorsuliak407166111
M. Loboda10
WSep 22 · 02:15M. Loboda2.501111113R. Konkulovskyi1.507850LSep 22 · 24:45M. Loboda1.67591141V. Slozka2.1011119113LSep 21 · 23:15M. Loboda1.83119171V. Krokhmal1.8361111113WSep 21 · 21:45M. Loboda1.73111147113O. Rodin2.0098111152WSep 21 · 20:15M. Loboda1.401111123Y. Vorsuliak2.7536100LSep 21 · 02:00Y. Vorsuliak2.7581512113M. Loboda1.4011131091LSep 21 · 01:00M. Loboda1.6711711462O. Rodin2.10411811113WSep 21 · 24:00M. Loboda1.83111110113V. Krokhmal1.83391281LSep 20 · 22:30M. Loboda2.251410971R. Konkulovskyi1.57121211113WSep 20 · 20:30M. Loboda1.67111189113V. Slozka2.1057111182
Y. Vorsuliak10
LSep 23 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.401111113Y. Vorsuliak2.757770WSep 22 · 02:45V. Slozka1.4471114111Y. Vorsuliak2.6311916133LSep 22 · 01:45O. Rodin1.8011169123Y. Vorsuliak1.9161411101LSep 22 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.33101111113Y. Vorsuliak3.25129871LSep 21 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.731213117113Y. Vorsuliak2.001011131142LSep 21 · 20:15M. Loboda1.401111123Y. Vorsuliak2.7536100WSep 21 · 02:00Y. Vorsuliak2.7581512113M. Loboda1.4011131091LSep 21 · 24:30Y. Vorsuliak2.75109111172R. Konkulovskyi1.40121129113WSep 20 · 23:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911061114113O. Rodin1.80121151232LSep 20 · 21:30Y. Vorsuliak2.50117100V. Slozka1.501311123
Upcoming Matches
M. Loboda
Sep 23 · 22:30M. Loboda2.10R. Konkulovskyi1.67—Sep 24 · 24:00M. Loboda1.91V. Krokhmal1.80—Sep 24 · 01:00M. Loboda1.67V. Slozka2.10—Sep 24 · 02:00M. Loboda1.73I. Hrekh2.00—Sep 24 · 12:35M. Loboda1.67V. Slozka2.10—Sep 24 · 14:35M. Loboda1.73I. Hrekh2.00—Sep 24 · 16:05M. Loboda1.73O. Rodin2.00—Sep 24 · 17:05M. Loboda1.91V. Krokhmal1.80—Sep 24 · 18:05M. Loboda1.67A. Nazrin2.10—
Y. Vorsuliak
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.