TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Iurii Hrekh vs Yaroslav Vorsuliak 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117117––––
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 69.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 23–13 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 13 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hrekh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-13 in 36
Hrekh
Correct
gap of 10 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1757 vs Vorsuliak 1595
Hrekh
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 100% vs Vorsuliak 20%
Hrekh
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 70% vs Vorsuliak 30%
Hrekh
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +7 · Vorsuliak -1
Hrekh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Hrekh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorsuliak form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.40 / Vorsuliak 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Hrekh)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13180348
Hrekh1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 156 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it98% 92 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it80% 123 of 154
Vorsuliak2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 72 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back21% 23 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh6wins
AwayVorsuliak4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHrekh leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh71.4%5 of 7
AwayVorsuliak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh7Vorsuliak3n = 10Hrekh took 7 of 10
S2Hrekh5Vorsuliak5n = 10split evenly
S3Hrekh5Vorsuliak5n = 10split evenly
S4Hrekh4Vorsuliak2n = 6Hrekh took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhVorsuliakH − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.831.0+2.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 547 vs 443 / 88652.5%50%287 / 547 vs 443 / 886Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.40/Vorsuliak 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrekh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 04:35I. Hrekh331111113Y. Vorsuliak125520
LSep 11 · 04:35I. Hrekh217590Y. Vorsuliak331111113
WSep 10 · 13:35I. Hrekh3611113113Y. Vorsuliak30751171
WSep 9 · 23:00I. Hrekh4371111143Y. Vorsuliak291151121
WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh331111113Y. Vorsuliak208480
LSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh45114131072Y. Vorsuliak527111112113
LSep 3 · 12:05I. Hrekh29118551Y. Vorsuliak3961111113
WSep 2 · 20:00I. Hrekh4413119113Y. Vorsuliak351161171
LAug 28 · 06:05I. Hrekh165560Y. Vorsuliak331111113
WAug 27 · 13:35I. Hrekh3811511113Y. Vorsuliak27911251
I. Hrekh10
WSep 23 · 20:00I. Hrekh1.671111117113V. Krokhmal2.1061381182WSep 18 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.10313712113M. Loboda1.671111111052WSep 18 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.441111113D. Shchegelskyi2.639850WSep 18 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.8011811133M. Khomenko1.919118111WSep 18 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.6761113113V. Slozka2.101111171WSep 18 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.531111113Y. Vorsuliak2.385520WSep 17 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.101111113A. Romanenko1.677460LSep 17 · 09:05I. Hrekh2.20811981G. Kuzmenko1.6111611113LSep 17 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.671011481B. Chaikovskyi2.1012511113LSep 17 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.731110961O. Pohonov2.0081211113
Y. Vorsuliak10
LSep 23 · 20:30M. Loboda1.401111812113Y. Vorsuliak2.75913111082WSep 22 · 02:45V. Slozka1.4471114111Y. Vorsuliak2.6311916133LSep 22 · 01:45O. Rodin1.8011169123Y. Vorsuliak1.9161411101LSep 22 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.33101111113Y. Vorsuliak3.25129871LSep 21 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.731213117113Y. Vorsuliak2.001011131142LSep 21 · 20:15M. Loboda1.401111123Y. Vorsuliak2.7536100WSep 21 · 02:00Y. Vorsuliak2.7581512113M. Loboda1.4011131091LSep 21 · 24:30Y. Vorsuliak2.75109111172R. Konkulovskyi1.40121129113WSep 20 · 23:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911061114113O. Rodin1.80121151232LSep 18 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.531111113Y. Vorsuliak2.385520
Upcoming Matches
I. Hrekh
Sep 23 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.61V. Slozka2.20—Sep 24 · 24:30I. Hrekh1.67R. Konkulovskyi2.10—Sep 24 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.00M. Loboda1.73—Sep 24 · 13:05I. Hrekh1.67V. Krokhmal2.10—Sep 24 · 14:35I. Hrekh2.00M. Loboda1.73—Sep 24 · 15:35I. Hrekh1.61V. Slozka2.20—Sep 24 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.57A. Nazrin2.25—Sep 24 · 18:35I. Hrekh1.50O. Rodin2.50—
Y. Vorsuliak
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