Iurii Hrekh vs Vitalii Krokhmal · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Sep 23Finished

Iurii Hrekh

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 6

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 6

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1161113118711118

Vitalii Krokhmal

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%

Graded at full time

Iurii Hrekh to win

56.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Vitalii Krokhmal below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 7-11

Set 5 · 11-8

Point 97 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 56.6%

97 points played in total.

H2H Iurii Hrekh 11–7 Vitalii Krokhmal Vitalii Krokhmal has won 7 of their 18 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:33

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Hrekh

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

11-7 in 18

Hrekh

Correct

gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Hrekh 1747 vs Krokhmal 1695

Hrekh

Correct

both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Hrekh 100% vs Krokhmal 20%

Hrekh

Correct

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Hrekh 60% vs Krokhmal 20%

Hrekh

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Hrekh +6 · Krokhmal -3

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hrekh)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHrekh 1.67 / Krokhmal 2.10

Signal prob.57% / 43%

Edge (Hrekh)+0.8pp

Setka Cup · #13180391

Hrekh1.67

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 18)

Won last 6

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite59% won 156 of 266

Up 2–0, closes it98% 92 of 94

Up 1–0, closes it80% 123 of 154

Krokhmal2.10

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 138 days ago (May 08) · back after a break

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog44% won 95 of 214

Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 109

Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeHrekh6wins

AwayKrokhmal4wins

1 of 10 to a deciderHrekh leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeHrekh75%6 of 8

AwayKrokhmaln = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Hrekh8Krokhmal2n = 10Hrekh took 8 of 10

S2Hrekh4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10

S3Hrekh4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10

S4Hrekh3Krokhmal2n = 5Hrekh took 3 of 5

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricHrekhKrokhmalH − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.731.3+3.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricHrekhKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 546 vs 180 / 38752.4%46.5%286 / 546 vs 180 / 387Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Hrekh

Hrekh 1.67/Krokhmal 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

56.6%

Hrekh · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Hrekh won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WMay 8 · 10:05I. Hrekh331111113V. Krokhmal229850

WMay 7 · 15:35I. Hrekh341211113V. Krokhmal2610790

WMay 7 · 01:30I. Hrekh3911611113V. Krokhmal29811641

WMay 4 · 22:45I. Hrekh4211119113V. Krokhmal31391181

LMay 1 · 10:05I. Hrekh229670V. Krokhmal331111113

LApr 30 · 03:00I. Hrekh28117731V. Krokhmal3961111113

LApr 28 · 03:15I. Hrekh301010100V. Krokhmal361212123

WApr 23 · 03:00I. Hrekh331111113V. Krokhmal176380

LApr 21 · 01:45I. Hrekh35118881V. Krokhmal3631111113

WApr 20 · 01:30I. Hrekh51128911113V. Krokhmal44101111662

I. Hrekh10

WSep 23 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.401111113Y. Vorsuliak2.757770 WSep 18 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.10313712113M. Loboda1.671111111052 WSep 18 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.441111113D. Shchegelskyi2.639850 WSep 18 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.8011811133M. Khomenko1.919118111 WSep 18 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.6761113113V. Slozka2.101111171 WSep 18 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.531111113Y. Vorsuliak2.385520 WSep 17 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.101111113A. Romanenko1.677460 LSep 17 · 09:05I. Hrekh2.20811981G. Kuzmenko1.6111611113 LSep 17 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.671011481B. Chaikovskyi2.1012511113 LSep 17 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.731110961O. Pohonov2.0081211113

V. Krokhmal10

WSep 22 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.381112116113O. Rodin1.5391451172 WSep 22 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.007111151V. Krokhmal1.7311139113 WSep 21 · 23:15M. Loboda1.83119171V. Krokhmal1.8361111113 WSep 21 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.731213117113Y. Vorsuliak2.001011131142 WSep 21 · 21:15V. Slozka1.731410119112V. Krokhmal2.001212911133 WSep 21 · 02:30R. Konkulovskyi1.8364160V. Krokhmal1.831111183 LSep 21 · 01:30V. Slozka1.801111113V. Krokhmal1.917140 LSep 21 · 24:00M. Loboda1.83111110113V. Krokhmal1.83391281 LSep 20 · 22:00O. Rodin1.731212113V. Krokhmal2.00101050 WSep 20 · 20:00Y. Vorsuliak1.91711691V. Krokhmal1.8011511113

Upcoming Matches

I. Hrekh

Sep 23 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.61V. Slozka2.20—Sep 24 · 24:30I. Hrekh1.67R. Konkulovskyi2.10—Sep 24 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.00M. Loboda1.73—Sep 24 · 13:05I. Hrekh1.67V. Krokhmal2.10—Sep 24 · 14:35I. Hrekh2.00M. Loboda1.73—Sep 24 · 15:35I. Hrekh1.61V. Slozka2.20—Sep 24 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.57A. Nazrin2.25—Sep 24 · 18:35I. Hrekh1.50O. Rodin2.50—

V. Krokhmal

Sep 24 · 24:00V. Krokhmal1.80M. Loboda1.91—Sep 24 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.73Y. Vorsuliak2.00—Sep 24 · 02:30V. Krokhmal1.67R. Konkulovskyi2.10—Sep 24 · 13:05V. Krokhmal2.10I. Hrekh1.67—Sep 24 · 14:05V. Krokhmal2.20O. Rodin1.61—Sep 24 · 15:05V. Krokhmal1.67A. Nazrin2.10—Sep 24 · 17:05V. Krokhmal1.80M. Loboda1.91—Sep 24 · 19:05V. Krokhmal1.91V. Slozka1.80—

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Iurii Hrekh vs Vitalii Krokhmal 3-2 · Setka Cup

Decision Summary

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

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Iurii Hrekh vs Vitalii Krokhmal 3-2 · Setka Cup

Decision Summary

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

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Today's matches are already sealed.