TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Krokhmal vs Oleksii Rodin 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Vitalii Krokhmal
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191214115611117
Oleksii Rodin
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:05 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeOleksii Rodin to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Krokhmal above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 97 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksii Rodin at 60.8%
97 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Krokhmal 0–2 Oleksii Rodin Vitalii Krokhmal has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:05What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Rodin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krokhmal 1685 vs Rodin 1664
Krokhmal
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krokhmal 20% vs Rodin 40%
Rodin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krokhmal 20% vs Rodin 40%
Rodin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krokhmal -3 · Rodin +2
Krokhmal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Rodin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrokhmal 2.38 / Rodin 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Rodin)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13168893
Krokhmal2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 137 days ago (May 08) · back after a break
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 93 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back24% 26 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Rodin1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 147 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it95% 73 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it78% 101 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrokhmal0wins
AwayRodin2wins
Rodin leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKrokhmalRodinK − RBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match30.040.5−10.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrokhmalRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 386 vs 192 / 32546.4%59.1%179 / 386 vs 192 / 325Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RodinKrokhmal 2.38/Rodin 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Rodin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krokhmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 20 · 22:00V. Krokhmal25101050O. Rodin351212113
LSep 16 · 20:00V. Krokhmal35156771O. Rodin46131111113
V. Krokhmal10
WSep 22 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.007111151V. Krokhmal1.7311139113WSep 21 · 23:15M. Loboda1.83119171V. Krokhmal1.8361111113WSep 21 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.731213117113Y. Vorsuliak2.001011131142WSep 21 · 21:15V. Slozka1.731410119112V. Krokhmal2.001212911133WSep 21 · 02:30R. Konkulovskyi1.8364160V. Krokhmal1.831111183LSep 21 · 01:30V. Slozka1.801111113V. Krokhmal1.917140LSep 21 · 24:00M. Loboda1.83111110113V. Krokhmal1.83391281LSep 20 · 22:00O. Rodin1.731212113V. Krokhmal2.00101050WSep 20 · 20:00Y. Vorsuliak1.91711691V. Krokhmal1.8011511113WSep 20 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.401110651V. Krokhmal2.7551211113
O. Rodin10
WSep 22 · 01:45O. Rodin1.8011169123Y. Vorsuliak1.9161411101WSep 21 · 23:45V. Slozka1.8311991192O. Rodin1.83811114113LSep 21 · 21:45M. Loboda1.73111147113O. Rodin2.0098111152LSep 21 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi1.6711413123O. Rodin2.1091111101LSep 21 · 03:00O. Rodin1.73118661V. Slozka2.0091111113WSep 21 · 01:00M. Loboda1.6711711462O. Rodin2.10411811113LSep 20 · 23:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911061114113O. Rodin1.80121151232WSep 20 · 22:00O. Rodin1.731212113V. Krokhmal2.00101050LSep 20 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.8381111113O. Rodin1.83116961LSep 17 · 19:05O. Rodin1.73118118102Y. Vorsuliak2.00211711123
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