TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Jurowicz vs Mariusz Adamus 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117911117119––
Mariusz Adamus
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:14 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingGrzegorz Jurowicz above · Mariusz Adamus below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Mariusz Adamus at 58.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Jurowicz 10–17 Mariusz Adamus Grzegorz Jurowicz has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:14What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-17 in 27
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jurowicz 1330 vs Adamus 1397
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jurowicz 60% vs Adamus 80%
Adamus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jurowicz 50% vs Adamus 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jurowicz +3 · Adamus +2
Jurowicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJurowicz 2.38 / Adamus 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Adamus)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13177217
Jurowicz2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 92 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 90
Adamus1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 202 of 377
Up 2–0, closes it88% 73 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it70% 135 of 192
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJurowicz3wins
AwayAdamus7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJurowicz50%2 of 4
AwayAdamus83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jurowicz4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S2Jurowicz4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S3Jurowicz1Adamus9n = 10Adamus took 9 of 10
S4Jurowicz3Adamus4n = 7Adamus took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricJurowiczAdamusJ − ABasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.438.1−4.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJurowiczAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 801 vs 801 / 163239.6%49.1%317 / 801 vs 801 / 1632Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusJurowicz 2.38/Adamus 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jurowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 17:20G. Jurowicz2510960M. Adamus341211113
WSep 17 · 22:00G. Jurowicz4111811113M. Adamus31611861
LAug 3 · 13:55G. Jurowicz29125751M. Adamus43101111113
LAug 3 · 07:55G. Jurowicz36911971M. Adamus4011711113
LJul 2 · 13:55G. Jurowicz2575130M. Adamus371111153
WJul 2 · 07:55G. Jurowicz4211119113M. Adamus30571171
WJun 22 · 10:20G. Jurowicz55816711133M. Adamus521114115112
LJun 10 · 16:40G. Jurowicz227690M. Adamus331111113
LJun 10 · 10:40G. Jurowicz33711871M. Adamus4211911113
LMay 8 · 14:20G. Jurowicz26116541M. Adamus3961111113
G. Jurowicz10
WSep 23 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.4019100G. Jurowicz2.751111123WSep 22 · 23:45J. Nowak2.258870G. Jurowicz1.571111113WSep 22 · 22:55G. Jurowicz2.201111113L. Oracz1.616650LSep 22 · 21:45G. Jurowicz2.504380G. Marud1.501111113LSep 22 · 19:40G. Jurowicz1.6191191192J. Nowak2.20119114113LSep 22 · 18:30G. Jurowicz2.386770M. Koczyba1.531111113LSep 22 · 17:20G. Jurowicz2.2010960M. Adamus1.611211113WSep 22 · 16:15G. Marud1.408980G. Jurowicz2.751111113LSep 22 · 15:25G. Jurowicz2.251021141L. Oracz1.5712118113LSep 18 · 02:00M. Koczyba1.4571111113G. Jurowicz2.50116691
M. Adamus10
WSep 23 · 01:25L. Oracz1.619370M. Adamus2.201111113WSep 22 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.577640M. Adamus2.251111113LSep 22 · 22:35G. Marud2.001111113M. Adamus1.733980WSep 22 · 21:00J. Nowak2.0068100M. Adamus1.731111123WSep 22 · 20:05M. Koczyba1.677811111M. Adamus2.1011111133WSep 22 · 19:20L. Oracz1.73137611132M. Adamus2.001111115153WSep 22 · 17:20G. Jurowicz2.2010960M. Adamus1.611211113LSep 22 · 16:35J. Nowak1.731111107113M. Adamus2.0097121162LSep 22 · 15:00G. Marud1.80121211113M. Adamus1.9110101361LSep 20 · 08:00K. Juszczyk1.801610119123M. Adamus1.801412811102
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