TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Kozachuk vs Ivan Romaniak 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Ivan Kozachuk
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210114––––
Ivan Romaniak
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:59 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeIvan Kozachuk to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Kozachuk above · Ivan Romaniak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 55 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Ivan Kozachuk at 60.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kozachuk 44–27 Ivan Romaniak Ivan Romaniak has won 27 of their 71 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:59What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kozachuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-27 in 71
Kozachuk
Correct
gap of 17 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kozachuk 1785 vs Romaniak 1738
Kozachuk
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kozachuk 40% vs Romaniak 60%
Romaniak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozachuk 70% vs Romaniak 50%
Kozachuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozachuk +1 · Romaniak +3
Romaniak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kozachuk) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romaniak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozachuk 1.61 / Romaniak 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kozachuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13172964
Kozachuk1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 111 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it95% 60 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 83 of 100
Romaniak2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 119 of 282
Down 0–1, comes back27% 46 of 169
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKozachuk6wins
AwayRomaniak4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKozachuk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozachuk100%6 of 6
AwayRomaniak100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozachuk6Romaniak4n = 10Kozachuk took 6 of 10
S2Kozachuk7Romaniak3n = 10Kozachuk took 7 of 10
S3Kozachuk4Romaniak6n = 10Romaniak took 6 of 10
S4Kozachuk4Romaniak3n = 7Kozachuk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKozachukRomaniakK − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.936.1+1.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozachukRomaniakBasisWin rate · lifetime554 / 1103 vs 248 / 54650.2%45.4%554 / 1103 vs 248 / 546Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozachukKozachuk 1.61/Romaniak 2.20
Hit
What we said
58.9%
Kozachuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kozachuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 12:35I. Kozachuk43111110113I. Romaniak32691251
WSep 15 · 10:35I. Kozachuk4212118113I. Romaniak311011191
WSep 14 · 12:35I. Kozachuk371112143I. Romaniak26410120
WSep 10 · 20:30I. Kozachuk371411123I. Romaniak31129100
LSep 8 · 10:25I. Kozachuk34871181I. Romaniak3911116113
WSep 6 · 20:45I. Kozachuk3811115113I. Romaniak31571181
LSep 1 · 04:25I. Kozachuk4391181232I. Romaniak511181110113
LAug 31 · 15:55I. Kozachuk37991181I. Romaniak4211119113
LAug 27 · 20:30I. Kozachuk187470I. Romaniak331111113
WAug 25 · 10:25I. Kozachuk50111198113I. Romaniak4587111182
I. Kozachuk10
WSep 22 · 07:05I. Kozachuk2.1011101011113D. Pesternikov1.6751212492LSep 22 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.803890D. Shcherbak1.911111113LSep 21 · 18:05D. Shcherbak2.001111113I. Kozachuk1.738890LSep 21 · 17:05I. Kozachuk2.3891191292S. Rak1.531151110113WSep 21 · 16:05I. Kozachuk1.28111168113D. Neborak3.5099111192WSep 21 · 14:35I. Kozachuk2.10911113113D. Pesternikov1.6711761182WSep 21 · 12:35I. Kozachuk1.67111110113I. Romaniak2.10691251WSep 19 · 10:35O. Bindas1.5361360I. Kozachuk2.381115113WSep 19 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.1481111113O. Hura5.00115941WSep 19 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.7351111113D. Shcherbak2.00115391
I. Romaniak10
WSep 22 · 06:35S. Rak1.50613111292I. Romaniak2.501111814113WSep 22 · 04:35D. Neborak1.73124891I. Romaniak2.00101111113WSep 21 · 19:05S. Rak1.44410111172I. Romaniak2.63111253113LSep 21 · 17:35I. Romaniak1.83142120D. Neborak1.831611143LSep 21 · 15:35D. Pesternikov1.441111113I. Romaniak2.638890LSep 21 · 13:35D. Shcherbak1.739101111133I. Romaniak2.00111266112LSep 21 · 12:35I. Kozachuk1.67111110113I. Romaniak2.10691251LSep 15 · 10:35I. Romaniak2.101011191I. Kozachuk1.6712118113WSep 15 · 09:05I. Romaniak3.001113113D. Pesternikov1.3661140WSep 15 · 07:35I. Romaniak2.631113911113S. Rak1.4491511562
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