TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ivan Kozachuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911117116311118
Denys Pesternikov
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Pesternikov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Kozachuk above · Denys Pesternikov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Denys Pesternikov at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kozachuk 142–151 Denys Pesternikov Ivan Kozachuk has won 142 of their 293 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:38What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pesternikov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
142-151 in 293
Pesternikov
Wrong
gap of 9 in 293, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kozachuk 1813 vs Pesternikov 1832
Pesternikov
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kozachuk 80% vs Pesternikov 60%
Kozachuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozachuk 70% vs Pesternikov 50%
Kozachuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozachuk +4 · Pesternikov -2
Kozachuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pesternikov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kozachuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozachuk 2.10 / Pesternikov 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Pesternikov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13166286
Kozachuk2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 94 of 246
Down 0–1, comes back20% 25 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Pesternikov1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 216 of 317
Up 2–0, closes it95% 122 of 129
Up 1–0, closes it84% 172 of 204
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKozachuk3wins
AwayPesternikov7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPesternikov leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozachuk33.3%2 of 6
AwayPesternikov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozachuk6Pesternikov4n = 10Kozachuk took 6 of 10
S2Kozachuk6Pesternikov4n = 10Kozachuk took 6 of 10
S3Kozachuk2Pesternikov8n = 10Pesternikov took 8 of 10
S4Kozachuk2Pesternikov6n = 8Pesternikov took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKozachukPesternikovK − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.637.8−4.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozachukPesternikovBasisWin rate · lifetime551 / 1097 vs 588 / 109550.2%53.7%551 / 1097 vs 588 / 1095Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PesternikovKozachuk 2.10/Pesternikov 1.67
Miss
What we said
55.8%
Pesternikov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kozachuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 22:30I. Kozachuk35118881D. Pesternikov4071111113
LSep 15 · 07:05I. Kozachuk321161141D. Pesternikov4051113113
LSep 14 · 14:35I. Kozachuk32611691D. Pesternikov3911611113
LSep 13 · 22:30I. Kozachuk2712960D. Pesternikov361411113
LSep 8 · 06:55I. Kozachuk4211140982D. Pesternikov538121111113
WSep 6 · 22:45I. Kozachuk341211113D. Pesternikov2610970
LSep 3 · 22:30I. Kozachuk31711581D. Pesternikov3911611113
WSep 1 · 08:55I. Kozachuk3521111113D. Pesternikov32118941
WAug 31 · 14:25I. Kozachuk3711114113D. Pesternikov33791161
LAug 28 · 02:00I. Kozachuk31117761D. Pesternikov4071111113
I. Kozachuk10
WSep 21 · 12:35I. Kozachuk1.67111110113I. Romaniak2.10691251WSep 19 · 10:35O. Bindas1.5361360I. Kozachuk2.381115113WSep 19 · 09:35I. Kozachuk1.1481111113O. Hura5.00115941WSep 19 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.7351111113D. Shcherbak2.00115391LSep 19 · 07:05I. Kozachuk2.388760S. Rak1.531111113WSep 19 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.3051112123R. Haiseniuk3.4011310101LSep 18 · 18:05O. Bindas1.504111173I. Kozachuk2.50119921LSep 18 · 17:05I. Kozachuk1.6171950Y. Kravets2.201121113WSep 18 · 16:05I. Kozachuk1.251111113O. Hura3.757750WSep 18 · 14:35I. Kozachuk1.33712511113R. Haiseniuk3.25111011562
D. Pesternikov10
WSep 21 · 15:35D. Pesternikov1.441111113I. Romaniak2.638890LSep 21 · 13:05D. Pesternikov1.44113561S. Rak2.6371111113LSep 18 · 02:30D. Pesternikov1.171111991R. Haiseniuk4.5013811113WSep 18 · 24:30S. Rak2.634660D. Pesternikov1.441111113WSep 17 · 23:30D. Pesternikov1.911311113O. Bindas1.8011990WSep 17 · 22:30I. Kozachuk1.91118881D. Pesternikov1.8071111113WSep 17 · 21:00D. Pesternikov1.33111176153D. Shcherbak3.25541111132LSep 15 · 11:05D. Pesternikov1.28991181D. Shcherbak3.5011118113LSep 15 · 09:05I. Romaniak3.001113113D. Pesternikov1.3661140LSep 15 · 08:05D. Pesternikov1.80861111O. Bindas1.9111114113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.