TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Horokh vs Dmytro Kryshtal 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Roman Horokh
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111412711611––
Dmytro Kryshtal
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Horokh above · Dmytro Kryshtal below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 81 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Roman Horokh at 65.7%
81 points played in total.
H2H Roman Horokh 94–64 Dmytro Kryshtal Dmytro Kryshtal has won 64 of their 158 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:50What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Horokh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
94-64 in 158
Horokh
Wrong
gap of 30 in 158, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horokh 1934 vs Kryshtal 1896
Horokh
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horokh 60% vs Kryshtal 40%
Horokh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horokh 40% vs Kryshtal 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Horokh +1 · Kryshtal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Horokh)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorokh 1.44 / Kryshtal 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Horokh)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13172902
Horokh1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 296 of 439
Up 2–0, closes it96% 161 of 167
Up 1–0, closes it83% 226 of 273
Kryshtal2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 77 of 277
Down 0–1, comes back12% 20 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorokh7wins
AwayKryshtal3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHorokh leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorokh71.4%5 of 7
AwayKryshtal33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horokh7Kryshtal3n = 10Horokh took 7 of 10
S2Horokh8Kryshtal2n = 10Horokh took 8 of 10
S3Horokh4Kryshtal6n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S4Horokh6Kryshtal2n = 8Horokh took 6 of 8
S5Horokh1Kryshtal2n = 3Kryshtal took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorokhKryshtalH − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.936.4+4.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorokhKryshtalBasisWin rate · lifetime691 / 1224 vs 334 / 77156.5%43.3%691 / 1224 vs 334 / 771Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhHorokh 1.44/Kryshtal 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kryshtal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 16:59R. Horokh335111161D. Kryshtal4011513113
LSep 16 · 13:30R. Horokh4511791172D. Kryshtal48911116113
WSep 15 · 13:30R. Horokh491111124113D. Kryshtal4749141192
WSep 12 · 06:30R. Horokh3851111113D. Kryshtal32117861
LSep 11 · 13:30R. Horokh4411771182D. Kryshtal40511112113
WSep 9 · 13:30R. Horokh47111114113D. Kryshtal39971671
WSep 8 · 14:30R. Horokh4291111113D. Kryshtal31118391
WSep 2 · 17:33R. Horokh331111113D. Kryshtal196760
WSep 2 · 13:00R. Horokh361213113D. Kryshtal30101190
WAug 31 · 13:00R. Horokh4211128113D. Kryshtal389101181
R. Horokh10
WSep 22 · 12:00R. Horokh1.801111113S. Balabei1.915860LSep 21 · 16:58S. Balabei1.8312114133R. Horokh1.8310711111LSep 21 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.501111113R. Horokh1.509580WSep 21 · 15:00R. Horokh1.831111113S. Balabei1.835860WSep 21 · 13:30R. Horokh1.611111113D. Yurkov2.208970LSep 21 · 12:00R. Horokh4.501591191S. Ponomarenko1.1717118113LSep 16 · 16:59D. Kryshtal1.9111513113R. Horokh1.805111161LSep 16 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.501219113R. Horokh1.50101750WSep 16 · 15:00R. Horokh1.91631111113S. Balabei1.8011115462LSep 16 · 13:30R. Horokh1.4411791172D. Kryshtal2.63911116113
D. Kryshtal10
WSep 22 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.531111113V. Komar2.385880LSep 19 · 10:34D. Kryshtal1.61911161S. Kushnirenko2.2011811113WSep 19 · 09:30S. Kushnirenko2.2011411462D. Kryshtal1.61611711113LSep 19 · 08:00D. Kryshtal1.8013114992I. Shyndel1.911171111113LSep 19 · 06:30D. Kryshtal8.506870S. Ponomarenko1.051111113WSep 19 · 05:00D. Kryshtal1.571111113V. Komar2.255760WSep 18 · 16:59D. Kryshtal1.57111011113S. Kushnirenko2.25912451LSep 18 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101112113D. Kryshtal1.611291091WSep 16 · 16:59D. Kryshtal1.9111513113R. Horokh1.805111161WSep 16 · 13:30R. Horokh1.4411791172D. Kryshtal2.63911116113
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