TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Lukas Jindrak vs Tomas Kos 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Lukas Jindrak
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111191198111012
Tomas Kos
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:44 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Kos to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Jindrak above · Tomas Kos below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 99 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Kos at 67.7%
99 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Jindrak 4–6 Tomas Kos Lukas Jindrak has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Kos beat Jindrak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Kos
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jindrak 1875 vs Kos 1949
Kos
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jindrak 60% vs Kos 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jindrak 60% vs Kos 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jindrak +3 · Kos -2
Jindrak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jindrak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJindrak 2.63 / Kos 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Kos)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169660
Jindrak2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 26 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back29% 9 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Kos1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 31 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it79% 26 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJindrak4wins
AwayKos6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKos leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJindrakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKos75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jindrak2Kos8n = 10Kos took 8 of 10
S2Jindrak5Kos5n = 10split evenly
S3Jindrak6Kos4n = 10Jindrak took 6 of 10
S4Jindrak2Kos2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricJindrakKosJ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.234.2−1.0per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJindrakKosBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 422 vs 98 / 18854.7%52.1%231 / 422 vs 98 / 188Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosJindrak 2.63/Kos 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 07:30L. Jindrak33491461T. Kos45111112113
LSep 12 · 13:30L. Jindrak132740T. Kos331111113
LSep 12 · 11:00L. Jindrak2768130T. Kos371111153
LSep 12 · 06:30L. Jindrak246990T. Kos331111113
LAug 20 · 14:00L. Jindrak26510110T. Kos361112133
WNov 24 · 18:00L. Jindrak45121111113T. Kos32149271
WNov 24 · 16:00L. Jindrak331111113T. Kos196490
LNov 24 · 12:00L. Jindrak47111111862T. Kos46139211113
WAug 23 · 12:30L. Jindrak331111113T. Kos219930
WApr 13 · 08:30L. Jindrak5192011113T. Kos401118741
L. Jindrak10
WSep 22 · 12:30J. Vales1.91781171L. Jindrak1.8011119113WSep 22 · 10:30E. Mares2.20114531L. Jindrak1.6131111113WSep 22 · 09:02L. Jindrak1.80911116113J. Vales1.9111581172WSep 22 · 08:00L. Jindrak1.801171011113J. Vales1.9161112772LSep 22 · 07:30T. Kos1.44111112113L. Jindrak2.63491461LSep 22 · 06:00L. Jindrak1.67791381E. Mares2.10111111113LSep 12 · 13:30L. Jindrak2.252740T. Kos1.571111113WSep 12 · 12:30L. Jindrak1.571111113E. Mares2.258770LSep 12 · 11:00L. Jindrak2.1068130T. Kos1.671111153WSep 12 · 10:00L. Zeman2.508140L. Jindrak1.501111113
T. Kos10
WSep 22 · 12:00T. Kos1.611111123E. Mares2.2073100LSep 22 · 10:00T. Kos1.9111891152J. Vales1.80611114113LSep 22 · 09:30T. Kos1.57119491E. Mares2.2551111113WSep 22 · 08:30E. Mares2.2091090T. Kos1.611112113WSep 22 · 07:30T. Kos1.44111112113L. Jindrak2.63491461WSep 22 · 06:30J. Vales1.5771160T. Kos2.251113113WSep 13 · 20:59T. Kos1.308111011113M. Zahradka3.4011712882LSep 13 · 20:00E. Mares2.2011124113T. Kos1.618101191WSep 12 · 13:30L. Jindrak2.252740T. Kos1.571111113WSep 12 · 11:00L. Jindrak2.1068130T. Kos1.671111153
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