TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Milan Klement vs Michal Regner 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Milan Klement
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012116611114114
Michal Regner
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Regner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Michal Regner below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 86 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Michal Regner at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Milan Klement 42–56 Michal Regner Milan Klement has won 42 of their 98 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Regner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-56 in 98
Regner
Wrong
gap of 14 in 98, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klement 1671 vs Regner 1590
Klement
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 80% vs Regner 40%
Klement
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 70% vs Regner 30%
Klement
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement +3 · Regner -1
Klement
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Klement) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 1.83 / Regner 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Klement)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168839
Klement1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Regner1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlement5wins
AwayRegner5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlement50%3 of 6
AwayRegner50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klement6Regner4n = 10Klement took 6 of 10
S2Klement4Regner6n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S3Klement6Regner4n = 10Klement took 6 of 10
S4Klement4Regner5n = 9Regner took 5 of 9
S5Klement2Regner2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlementRegnerK − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.938.4+1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime450 / 883 vs 515 / 106151%48.5%450 / 883 vs 515 / 1061Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlementKlement 1.83/Regner 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Klement · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Klement won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 23:30M. Klement491011611113M. Regner3712611442
WSep 18 · 24:00M. Klement44311811113M. Regner3911511482
LSep 10 · 23:30M. Klement30116761M. Regner4291111113
LSep 3 · 09:28M. Klement327101141M. Regner4211128113
WSep 3 · 06:30M. Klement44111111113M. Regner32813471
WAug 25 · 03:30M. Klement351311113M. Regner2611690
LAug 25 · 02:30M. Klement49111111972M. Regner50813711113
LAug 7 · 06:00M. Klement29631191M. Regner3711114113
LJul 18 · 23:00M. Klement45111185102M. Regner52991111123
WJul 17 · 07:00M. Klement4211911113M. Regner27411751
M. Klement10
WSep 22 · 22:00M. Klement1.67111213113V. Vejvoda2.108101541WSep 20 · 21:30R. Pacha1.43129511102M. Klement2.601011115123WSep 20 · 20:00M. Klement1.61111211113V. Vejvoda2.20814481LSep 20 · 19:30R. Pacha1.44111111143M. Klement2.639138121WSep 20 · 18:00M. Klement1.50971111113J. Zuzanek2.5011118492LSep 18 · 03:28M. Klement1.8061030T. Franek1.911112113WSep 18 · 02:00M. Klement1.911112113T. Franek1.8031030WSep 18 · 01:00M. Klement1.83118127113M. Skakal1.83811101162WSep 18 · 24:00M. Regner1.8311511482M. Klement1.83311811113LSep 17 · 22:30V. Vejvoda2.10121268113M. Klement1.671010111192
M. Regner10
WSep 23 · 24:30V. Vejvoda1.6757120M. Regner2.101111143LSep 22 · 22:30M. Regner1.73614100M. Sychra2.001116123WSep 22 · 13:00M. Regner1.801112113R. Wagner1.8581070LSep 22 · 12:00M. Regner1.83119971J. Zuzanek1.8361111113LSep 22 · 11:30V. Kolar1.8014116113M. Regner1.911261191WSep 22 · 10:00M. Regner2.501111113R. Wagner1.508690LSep 21 · 12:58S. Kasnik1.50111177113M. Regner2.5086111192LSep 21 · 12:30M. Regner2.38811771S. Kasnik1.5311811113LSep 21 · 11:00M. Regner1.7311591152M. Sychra2.00911117113LSep 18 · 24:00M. Regner1.8311511482M. Klement1.83311811113
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