TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Viktor Vejvoda vs Michal Regner 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Viktor Vejvoda
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5117111214––––
Michal Regner
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Regner to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Vejvoda above · Michal Regner below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 60 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Michal Regner at 58.7%
60 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Vejvoda 34–29 Michal Regner Michal Regner has won 29 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vejvoda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-29 in 63
Vejvoda
Wrong
gap of 5 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vejvoda 1558 vs Regner 1590
Regner
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vejvoda 20% vs Regner 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vejvoda 10% vs Regner 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vejvoda -4 · Regner -2
Vejvoda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vejvoda) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVejvoda 1.67 / Regner 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vejvoda)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13168846
Vejvoda1.67
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite59% won 167 of 281
Up 2–0, closes it92% 80 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it83% 111 of 134
Regner2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 113 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVejvoda6wins
AwayRegner4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVejvoda leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVejvoda100%4 of 4
AwayRegner66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vejvoda4Regner6n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S2Vejvoda6Regner4n = 10Vejvoda took 6 of 10
S3Vejvoda8Regner2n = 10Vejvoda took 8 of 10
S4Vejvoda3Regner3n = 6split evenly
S5Vejvoda2Regner2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVejvodaRegnerV − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.339.9+0.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVejvodaRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime467 / 896 vs 515 / 106152.1%48.5%467 / 896 vs 515 / 1061Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VejvodaVejvoda 1.67/Regner 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vejvoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 07:30V. Vejvoda36841681M. Regner47111114113
WSep 18 · 01:30V. Vejvoda331111113M. Regner218940
LAug 24 · 23:00V. Vejvoda46151131162M. Regner45173113113
WAug 2 · 10:00V. Vejvoda361111143M. Regner2392120
WJul 19 · 03:04V. Vejvoda331111113M. Regner198470
LJul 19 · 02:00V. Vejvoda52411116202M. Regner62119911223
WJul 17 · 09:00V. Vejvoda4613616113M. Regner4511111491
LJul 17 · 06:00V. Vejvoda2141160M. Regner351113113
WJun 6 · 15:30V. Vejvoda471011112133M. Regner50127911112
WJun 4 · 07:30V. Vejvoda535121114113M. Regner52111471282
V. Vejvoda10
LSep 22 · 23:00V. Vejvoda1.803770M. Skakal1.911111113LSep 22 · 22:00M. Klement1.67111213113V. Vejvoda2.108101541LSep 21 · 09:28O. Svacha1.501511133V. Vejvoda2.50134110LSep 21 · 08:00O. Svacha1.5711611163V. Vejvoda2.252115141WSep 21 · 07:00M. Sychra1.919590V. Vejvoda1.801111113LSep 21 · 06:30V. Vejvoda1.67511101182S. Kasnik2.10113123113LSep 20 · 21:00J. Zuzanek1.7311511133V. Vejvoda2.006116111LSep 20 · 20:00M. Klement1.61111211113V. Vejvoda2.20814481LSep 20 · 19:00J. Zuzanek1.831111113V. Vejvoda1.838970LSep 20 · 18:30V. Vejvoda2.009111141R. Pacha1.7311813113
M. Regner10
LSep 22 · 23:30M. Klement1.831011611113M. Regner1.8312611442LSep 22 · 22:30M. Regner1.73614100M. Sychra2.001116123WSep 22 · 13:00M. Regner1.801112113R. Wagner1.8581070LSep 22 · 12:00M. Regner1.83119971J. Zuzanek1.8361111113LSep 22 · 11:30V. Kolar1.8014116113M. Regner1.911261191WSep 22 · 10:00M. Regner2.501111113R. Wagner1.508690LSep 21 · 12:58S. Kasnik1.50111177113M. Regner2.5086111192LSep 21 · 12:30M. Regner2.38811771S. Kasnik1.5311811113LSep 21 · 11:00M. Regner1.7311591152M. Sychra2.00911117113LSep 21 · 10:00J. Zuzanek1.831111113M. Regner1.838940
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