TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13159891
Played Sep 20Finished
Grzegorz Sawicki
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119115511118––
Jakub Michalski
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Sawicki to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
119115511118––
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 37–32 Jakub Michalski Jakub Michalski has won 32 of their 69 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Michalski beat Sawicki 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sawicki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-32 in 69
Sawicki
Correct
gap of 5 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1296 vs Michalski 1199
Sawicki
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 40% vs Michalski 60%
Michalski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 60% vs Michalski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki +2 · Michalski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Sawicki) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 1.57 / Michalski 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Sawicki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13159891
Sawicki1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 46 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Michalski2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 77 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSawicki5wins
AwayMichalski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSawicki100%3 of 3
AwayMichalski71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sawicki3Michalski7n = 10Michalski took 7 of 10
S2Sawicki3Michalski7n = 10Michalski took 7 of 10
S3Sawicki6Michalski4n = 10Sawicki took 6 of 10
S4Sawicki4Michalski3n = 7Sawicki took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSawickiMichalskiS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.338.8−1.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiMichalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 919 vs 408 / 105339.4%38.8%362 / 919 vs 408 / 1053Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.833.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SawickiSawicki 1.57/Michalski 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Sawicki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sawicki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 23:05G. Sawicki2210570J. Michalski341211113
LAug 30 · 01:55G. Sawicki2991190J. Michalski351113113
LAug 29 · 19:55G. Sawicki26311841J. Michalski3911611113
WJun 14 · 02:20G. Sawicki5512101111113J. Michalski4914128962
LJun 13 · 18:20G. Sawicki31591161J. Michalski4211119113
LJun 7 · 05:05G. Sawicki389611121J. Michalski4311117143
WJun 6 · 20:45G. Sawicki351113113J. Michalski2891180
WMay 17 · 01:30G. Sawicki45111211113J. Michalski37814781
WMay 16 · 19:30G. Sawicki51891112113J. Michalski46111161082
WMay 3 · 03:55G. Sawicki4111118113J. Michalski35991161
G. Sawicki10
WSep 20 · 03:30D. Dytko1.697880G. Sawicki2.061111113WSep 20 · 01:10G. Sawicki1.851111113J. Nowak1.807570WSep 20 · 24:20D. Fira1.687811121G. Sawicki1.8711113143LSep 19 · 23:05G. Sawicki1.5010570J. Michalski2.401211113LSep 19 · 21:30G. Sawicki2.2511613872D. Dytko1.546111111113LSep 19 · 20:20G. Sawicki1.958970D. Fira1.741111113WSep 19 · 18:45G. Sawicki2.60119147113R. Szymik1.41911121172LSep 19 · 17:30G. Sawicki1.7599150J. Nowak1.981111173WSep 19 · 04:40G. Sawicki1.901111153O. Sokolowski1.7559130WSep 19 · 03:05D. Fira1.618790G. Sawicki1.971111113
J. Michalski10
WSep 20 · 03:55J. Michalski2.401111113J. Nowak1.514930LSep 20 · 01:30D. Fira1.501111113J. Michalski2.405790LSep 19 · 23:55R. Szymik1.191111113J. Michalski3.508880WSep 19 · 23:05G. Sawicki1.5010570J. Michalski2.401211113WSep 19 · 21:55J. Michalski2.201111113J. Nowak1.577690WSep 19 · 20:45D. Dytko1.377101191J. Michalski2.8011124113LSep 19 · 19:30D. Fira1.60471111113J. Michalski2.1511114342LSep 19 · 17:55R. Szymik1.251111113J. Michalski3.707340WSep 12 · 04:40J. Michalski1.601211113A. Szurgot2.1110580LSep 12 · 03:05R. Szymik1.211111113J. Michalski3.706670
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