TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147271
Played Sep 18Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1198111113115911
Mateusz Rutkowski
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeArtur Daniel to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
1198111113115911
H2H Artur Daniel 9–7 Mateusz Rutkowski Mateusz Rutkowski has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:29What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Daniel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Daniel
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1726 vs Rutkowski 1705
Daniel
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 20% vs Rutkowski 80%
Rutkowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 40% vs Rutkowski 70%
Rutkowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel -3 · Rutkowski +1
Daniel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Daniel) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rutkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 1.80 / Rutkowski 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Daniel)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13147271
Daniel1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 181 of 287
Up 2–0, closes it94% 90 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it77% 140 of 183
Rutkowski1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 128 of 309
Down 0–1, comes back22% 41 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDaniel5wins
AwayRutkowski5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDaniel80%4 of 5
AwayRutkowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Daniel5Rutkowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Daniel4Rutkowski6n = 10Rutkowski took 6 of 10
S3Daniel7Rutkowski3n = 10Daniel took 7 of 10
S4Daniel4Rutkowski4n = 8split evenly
S5Daniel2Rutkowski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanielRutkowskiD − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.040.8+0.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime762 / 1438 vs 803 / 142553%56.4%762 / 1438 vs 803 / 1425Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanielDaniel 1.80/Rutkowski 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Daniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rutkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 17:20A. Daniel401198121M. Rutkowski4481111143
WSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel541271113113M. Rutkowski49141141192
LAug 26 · 18:05A. Daniel29631191M. Rutkowski3811115113
WJun 25 · 15:45A. Daniel341211113M. Rutkowski2410770
LJun 11 · 18:35A. Daniel541012151342M. Rutkowski6112101315113
WApr 29 · 16:40A. Daniel4512811143M. Rutkowski4210119121
WApr 22 · 18:15A. Daniel45113911113M. Rutkowski3781111342
LApr 9 · 17:00A. Daniel34861191M. Rutkowski3811115113
WApr 2 · 16:20A. Daniel341112113M. Rutkowski2791080
LMar 19 · 17:40A. Daniel41511411102M. Rutkowski48116118123
A. Daniel10
LSep 18 · 10:05A. Daniel2.05101360M. Sklensky1.651215113LSep 18 · 09:00A. Daniel3.0513205992M. Olejnik1.3211181111113LSep 9 · 19:40A. Daniel2.388360M. Benes1.531111113WSep 9 · 18:30A. Daniel1.61111111113M. Olbrycht2.20681361LSep 9 · 17:20A. Daniel2.201341031J. Braun1.61111112113WSep 9 · 16:05J. Chmielowski2.5051390A. Daniel1.501115113WSep 9 · 15:25A. Daniel1.2811711113J. Krawczyk3.50611891LSep 9 · 14:35A. Daniel2.10101231142M. Benes1.601210117113LSep 9 · 13:00A. Daniel1.83112661J. Kuzmicz1.8661111113WSep 9 · 11:45A. Daniel2.2561211123J. Braun1.5411105101
M. Rutkowski10
LSep 18 · 12:35M. Sklensky1.651111133M. Rutkowski2.1088110WSep 18 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.661111123D. Kostal2.0094100LSep 18 · 09:45M. Rutkowski1.63911681K. Wisniewski2.1011711113WSep 17 · 19:40M. Rutkowski1.531111123D. Solilo2.3889100WSep 17 · 18:30M. Rutkowski1.201111113A. Mugowski4.333580WSep 17 · 17:20M. Rutkowski1.221111143K. Rudomina4.0098120WSep 17 · 16:05M. Lukaszewski4.0017101271M. Rutkowski1.22191210113LSep 17 · 15:25M. Rutkowski1.537611101M. Kolek2.3811118123LSep 17 · 14:35M. Rutkowski1.75891191G. Poliniewicz1.9011115113WSep 17 · 13:00M. Rutkowski1.6311911113M. Olbrycht2.05211971
Upcoming Matches
A. Daniel
Sep 18 · 13:00A. Daniel1.50K. Wisniewski2.35—Sep 18 · 14:35A. Daniel1.60D. Kostal2.10—Sep 18 · 16:30A. Daniel1.25B. Sulkowski3.75—Sep 18 · 17:20A. Daniel1.57K. Staszczyk2.25—Sep 18 · 18:30A. Daniel1.33M. Kolek3.25—Sep 18 · 19:40A. Daniel1.22P. Maruszak4.00—Sep 18 · 21:00A. Daniel1.28M. Woskowicz3.50—Sep 19 · 03:25A. Daniel1.44G. Poliniewicz2.63—Sep 19 · 04:55A. Daniel1.61D. Kostal2.20—Sep 19 · 06:05A. Daniel2.20M. Jadczyk1.61—
M. Rutkowski
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