TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13144402
Played Sep 17Finished
Waldemar Glanowski
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111161012113119
Mariusz Baron
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWaldemar Glanowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
9111161012113119
H2H Waldemar Glanowski 4–5 Mariusz Baron Waldemar Glanowski has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Baron beat Glanowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:22What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (55%)
Baron
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1257 vs Baron 1313
Baron
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 40% vs Baron 80%
Baron
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 50% vs Baron 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski -1 · Baron +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Baron) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 2.05 / Baron 1.65
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Baron)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13144402
Glanowski2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 77 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back14% 17 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 67
Baron1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite56% won 202 of 364
Up 2–0, closes it82% 95 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it69% 143 of 207
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeGlanowski4wins
AwayBaron5wins
7 of 9 to a deciderBaron leads 5–4, and 7 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowski57.1%4 of 7
AwayBaronn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski7Baron2n = 9Glanowski took 7 of 9
S2Glanowski4Baron5n = 9Baron took 5 of 9
S3Glanowski4Baron5n = 9Baron took 5 of 9
S4Glanowski3Baron6n = 9Baron took 6 of 9
S5Glanowski3Baron4n = 7Baron took 4 of 7
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away444%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricGlanowskiBaronG − BBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match46.848.9−2.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 742 vs 869 / 181253.4%48%396 / 742 vs 869 / 1812Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaronGlanowski 2.05/Baron 1.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Baron · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Glanowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 17 · 07:55W. Glanowski50910111192M. Baron47111258113
WAug 25 · 13:05W. Glanowski581512119113M. Baron55131481192
LAug 25 · 06:55W. Glanowski4471181172M. Baron47118116113
WJul 23 · 15:55W. Glanowski3911116113M. Baron35871191
LJul 23 · 09:55W. Glanowski47111158122M. Baron54991111143
LApr 23 · 11:30W. Glanowski321151241M. Baron4371114113
LApr 23 · 07:10W. Glanowski4111711662M. Baron51911911113
WMar 26 · 13:20W. Glanowski63211177173M. Baron631971111152
WMar 26 · 09:20W. Glanowski47118116113M. Baron4581171182
W. Glanowski10
LSep 17 · 15:05W. Glanowski2.97611361K. Slawinski1.3511511113LSep 17 · 12:45W. Buczynski1.8481111133W. Glanowski1.801199111WSep 17 · 11:55W. Glanowski2.001111113O. Sokolowski1.704960WSep 17 · 10:20W. Glanowski1.8571111113W. Buczynski1.78115651LSep 17 · 09:05W. Glanowski3.3071190K. Slawinski1.251113113LSep 17 · 07:55W. Glanowski2.17910111192M. Baron1.56111258113WSep 17 · 06:45K. Schaniel1.57119891W. Glanowski2.1581111113LSep 17 · 05:55W. Glanowski2.10811791O. Sokolowski1.6011911113LSep 10 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.6041080K. Adamus1.411112113WSep 10 · 15:05W. Glanowski2.0311911113J. Pelka1.65911881
M. Baron10
WSep 17 · 13:10K. Schaniel1.8058131342M. Baron1.8311111111113LSep 17 · 11:30W. Buczynski2.151111614113M. Baron1.6046111672WSep 17 · 10:40K. Slawinski1.39181191M. Baron2.6011117113WSep 17 · 09:55O. Sokolowski1.9051070M. Baron1.801112113WSep 17 · 07:55W. Glanowski2.17910111192M. Baron1.56111258113LSep 17 · 07:10W. Buczynski2.16713615113M. Baron1.571111111392LSep 17 · 05:30K. Schaniel1.801011124113M. Baron1.83126101152WSep 15 · 14:40M. Baron2.631111113K. Hetnar1.448850LSep 15 · 13:05M. Baron1.83116111192P. Gumulinski1.83711139113LSep 15 · 11:50M. Baron2.20121381082P. Przewlocki1.6110111112113
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