TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13105627
Played Sep 10Finished
Alex Naumi
Home
6.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211211311––––
Kristian Karlsson
Away
1.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:24 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeAlex Naumi to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlex Naumi above · Kristian Karlsson below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 3-10
Point 39 set 3, 3-10 — our read held Alex Naumi at 54.5%
39 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:24What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Karlsson
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Naumi 80% vs Karlsson 60%
Naumi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Naumi 70% vs Karlsson 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Naumi +3 · Karlsson -1
Naumi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Karlsson) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karlsson form (60%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNaumi 6.50 / Karlsson 1.10
Signal prob.15% / 86%
Edge (Karlsson)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13105627
Naumi6.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Karlsson1.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNaumiKarlssonBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 6 / 1070%60%7 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.52.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KarlssonNaumi 6.50/Karlsson 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Karlsson · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Karlsson won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Naumi10
WSep 9 · 17:20E. Dorr1.28118116102A. Naumi3.50511611123WSep 8 · 14:45G. Gomez1.40118811102A. Naumi2.75611118123WSep 8 · 10:30A. Shulaybi4.337151121A. Naumi1.2011175113LAug 26 · 10:20A. Naumi2.2541111792M. Antoine-Michard1.57118611113WAug 25 · 09:10D. Floro3.406560A. Naumi1.301111113WAug 24 · 10:55A. Naumi1.171111113J. Kabelka4.506360LAug 20 · 15:40Z. Chew2.20111112113A. Naumi1.611361061WAug 20 · 08:35T. Watanabe2.105690A. Naumi1.671111113WAug 19 · 09:10A. Naumi1.401511113Y. Yu2.7513430LJan 27 · 17:45M. Pantoja—11119113A. Naumi—791171
K. Karlsson10
LSep 12 · 14:25K. Karlsson1.571011116122E. Ranefur2.25127611143WSep 12 · 09:45T. Poret2.2561111111K. Karlsson1.5711137133WSep 11 · 10:00A. Robles2.636510K. Karlsson1.441111113LSep 4 · 11:00A. Kouraichi4.50111411123K. Karlsson1.17117118102WSep 3 · 13:20L. Katsman4.337116101K. Karlsson1.2011411123LAug 13 · 17:45S. Togami1.251111113K. Karlsson3.759660WAug 12 · 17:45K. Karlsson4.5011118133H. Shinozuka1.176911111WMay 5 · 17:08K. Karlsson1.131111133D. Szantosi5.5077110LApr 11 · 03:35K. Karlsson2.1011414852T. Pucar1.677111211113WApr 10 · 10:10L. Mladenovic3.75111981K. Karlsson1.2571111113
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