TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin Quals
WTT Feeder Berlin QualsMatch #12459495
Played Aug 20Finished
Tamito Watanabe
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–3Last 9Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611911––––
Alex Naumi
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:20 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeTamito Watanabe to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTamito Watanabe above · Alex Naumi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Tamito Watanabe at 57.6%
53 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:20What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Naumi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Watanabe 40% vs Naumi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Watanabe 67% vs Naumi 40%
Watanabe
Wrong
27pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Watanabe -2 · Naumi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Naumi) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Naumi form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWatanabe 2.10 / Naumi 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Naumi)+0.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin Quals · #12459495
Watanabe2.10
67%won 6 of 9 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest75%takes the first set · 6 of 8
Naumi1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
38%takes the first set · 3 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricWatanabeNaumiBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 8 vs 5 / 1075%50%6 / 8 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.82.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NaumiWatanabe 2.10/Naumi 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Naumi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Naumi won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Watanabe9
LAug 26 · 11:30N. Tauler2.20121111113T. Watanabe1.61146861LJul 25 · 13:10T. Watanabe—116813142S. Lee—7111111163WJul 25 · 06:30T. Watanabe—1111113L. Neumann—2140WJul 24 · 13:00T. Watanabe—11117113S. Pande—651151LJul 22 · 05:55Y. Lin1.911011713113T. Watanabe1.80129111182WJul 21 · 10:50T. Watanabe3.75811512113Y. Chang1.25118111062WJul 20 · 09:45D. Han—613951T. Watanabe—111111113WJul 20 · 04:00T. Watanabe—10111110113Z. Yang—12981242WJul 19 · 09:00T. Watanabe—1111113T. Otgonpurev—1690
A. Naumi10
LAug 26 · 10:20A. Naumi2.2541111792M. Antoine-Michard1.57118611113WAug 25 · 09:10D. Floro3.406560A. Naumi1.301111113WAug 24 · 10:55A. Naumi1.171111113J. Kabelka4.506360LAug 20 · 15:40Z. Chew2.20111112113A. Naumi1.611361061WAug 19 · 09:10A. Naumi1.401511113Y. Yu2.7513430LJan 27 · 17:45M. Pantoja—11119113A. Naumi—791171WJan 27 · 10:35G. Camara1.5011811232A. Naumi2.50711711113LJan 8 · 17:40P. Chojnowski1.281111113A. Naumi3.507890LNov 30 · 11:20A. Doyen1.831111103A. Naumi1.838790LOct 15 · 11:20A. Naumi3.25491191C. Andras1.3311118113
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