TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Ulaanbaatar
WTT Feeder UlaanbaatarMatch #12276614
Played Jul 22Finished
Yen-Chun Lin
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121197111311118
Tamito Watanabe
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–0Last 4Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:32 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeTamito Watanabe to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYen-Chun Lin above · Tamito Watanabe below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 103 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Tamito Watanabe at 57.8%
103 points played in total.
H2H Yen-Chun Lin 1–0 Tamito Watanabe Tamito Watanabe has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:32What took a side4 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Watanabe
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Lin 60% vs Watanabe 100%
Watanabe
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lin 50% vs Watanabe 100%
Watanabe
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lin +2 · Watanabe +4
Watanabe
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Watanabe) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Watanabe form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLin 1.91 / Watanabe 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Watanabe)+2.5pp
WTT Feeder Ulaanbaatar · #12276614
Lin1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Watanabe1.80
100%won 4 of 4 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 2 of 4
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLin1wins
AwayWatanabe0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderLin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLinWatanabeL − WBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match52.051.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLinWatanabeBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 4 / 550%80%5 / 10 vs 4 / 5Avg sets wonper match2.12.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WatanabeLin 1.91/Watanabe 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Watanabe · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 22 · 05:55Y. Lin—1011713113T. Watanabe—129111182
Y. Lin10
LAug 6 · 12:25D. Kim2.75101111113Y. Lin1.40129731LJul 22 · 11:45A. Abbasi2.601071114113Y. Lin1.42121171272WJul 21 · 11:25K. Yoshiyama1.46116771Y. Lin2.4061111113WJul 21 · 03:00K. Yoshiyama1.50116771Y. Lin2.5061111113LJul 3 · 15:50Y. Lin2.10104100R. Betelu1.671211123LMay 23 · 16:50Y. Lin1.259970N. Stoyanov3.751111113WMay 23 · 11:20V. Sidorenko1.141176161Y. Lin5.0051111183WMay 22 · 10:55V. Picard—811631Y. Lin—11611113WMay 22 · 08:00V. Picard1.57811631Y. Lin2.2511611113LMay 17 · 17:50J. Hung1.67111194113Y. Lin2.1017111172
T. Watanabe9
LAug 26 · 11:30N. Tauler2.20121111113T. Watanabe1.61146861LAug 20 · 08:35T. Watanabe2.105690A. Naumi1.671111113LJul 25 · 13:10T. Watanabe—116813142S. Lee—7111111163WJul 25 · 06:30T. Watanabe—1111113L. Neumann—2140WJul 24 · 13:00T. Watanabe—11117113S. Pande—651151WJul 21 · 10:50T. Watanabe3.75811512113Y. Chang1.25118111062WJul 20 · 09:45D. Han—613951T. Watanabe—111111113WJul 20 · 04:00T. Watanabe—10111110113Z. Yang—12981242WJul 19 · 09:00T. Watanabe—1111113T. Otgonpurev—1690
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