TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077208
Played Sep 5Finished
Zbigniew Sobkow
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411611118811––
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbigniew Sobkow above · Wojciech Wojtaszczyk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Zbigniew Sobkow 2–3 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Zbigniew Sobkow has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:59What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobkow 1452 vs Wojtaszczyk 1419
Sobkow
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobkow 60% vs Wojtaszczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobkow 60% vs Wojtaszczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobkow -2 · Wojtaszczyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wojtaszczyk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobkow 1.83 / Wojtaszczyk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13077208
Sobkow1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Wojtaszczyk1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSobkow2wins
AwayWojtaszczyk3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderWojtaszczyk leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobkow66.7%2 of 3
AwayWojtaszczykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobkow3Wojtaszczyk2n = 5Sobkow took 3 of 5
S2Sobkow0Wojtaszczyk5n = 5Wojtaszczyk took 5 of 5
S3Sobkow2Wojtaszczyk3n = 5Wojtaszczyk took 3 of 5
S4Sobkow3Wojtaszczyk0n = 3Sobkow took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricSobkowWojtaszczykS − WBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match35.437.6−2.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobkowWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 66 vs 531 / 78957.6%67.3%38 / 66 vs 531 / 789Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykSobkow 1.83/Wojtaszczyk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wojtaszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 5 · 05:15Z. Sobkow—12511113W. Wojtaszczyk—1011841
LJun 19 · 14:20Z. Sobkow—11951162W. Wojtaszczyk—811115113
WJun 19 · 08:10Z. Sobkow—14511113W. Wojtaszczyk—1211771
LJun 18 · 04:00Z. Sobkow—79100W. Wojtaszczyk—1111123
LJun 18 · 24:00Z. Sobkow—111260W. Wojtaszczyk—1314113
Z. Sobkow10
LSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113WSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581LSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.8011991592P. Gumulinski1.915111113113LSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 05:15Z. Sobkow1.4481190J. Jesiek2.631113113WSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133WSep 6 · 03:25Z. Sobkow1.6111711113O. Vincenec2.20411481
W. Wojtaszczyk10
LSep 6 · 16:40R. Wojcik2.901011124113W. Wojtaszczyk1.34127101142WSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 13:10R. Piechnik2.258611101W. Wojtaszczyk1.5711115123LSep 6 · 11:30K. Slawinski1.73511712113W. Wojtaszczyk2.00119111092WSep 6 · 10:40R. Wojcik2.60108100W. Wojtaszczyk1.441211123LSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980LSep 6 · 07:55M. Lach1.7111712123W. Wojtaszczyk2.0061110101LSep 6 · 07:10K. Slawinski1.47101111133W. Wojtaszczyk2.451265111LSep 6 · 05:30R. Piechnik—1112133W. Wojtaszczyk—410110
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