TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077149
Played Sep 5Finished
Jakub Nowak
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1196111012711––
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:49 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Nowak above · Wojciech Wojtaszczyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 77 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 68.5%
77 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Nowak 5–12 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Jakub Nowak has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:49What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-12 in 17
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nowak 1282 vs Wojtaszczyk 1414
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nowak 60% vs Wojtaszczyk 40%
Nowak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nowak 40% vs Wojtaszczyk 60%
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nowak +1 · Wojtaszczyk -3
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Wojtaszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojtaszczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNowak 2.63 / Wojtaszczyk 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13077149
Nowak2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 243 of 677
Down 0–1, comes back21% 87 of 410
Down 0–2, comes back9% 21 of 237
Wojtaszczyk1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 371 of 535
Up 2–0, closes it97% 201 of 208
Up 1–0, closes it84% 290 of 344
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNowak4wins
AwayWojtaszczyk6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWojtaszczyk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNowak50%2 of 4
AwayWojtaszczyk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nowak4Wojtaszczyk6n = 10Wojtaszczyk took 6 of 10
S2Nowak2Wojtaszczyk8n = 10Wojtaszczyk took 8 of 10
S3Nowak4Wojtaszczyk6n = 10Wojtaszczyk took 6 of 10
S4Nowak3Wojtaszczyk4n = 7Wojtaszczyk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricNowakWojtaszczykN − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.838.7−3.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNowakWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime671 / 1737 vs 537 / 80238.6%67%671 / 1737 vs 537 / 802Avg sets wonper match1.82.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykNowak 2.63/Wojtaszczyk 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wojtaszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 13:30J. Nowak—9111371W. Wojtaszczyk—11915113
LSep 5 · 07:20J. Nowak—1161071W. Wojtaszczyk—91112113
WAug 9 · 02:20J. Nowak—711116113W. Wojtaszczyk—11571172
LAug 8 · 18:20J. Nowak—9870W. Wojtaszczyk—1111113
WJul 31 · 09:00J. Nowak—11911123W. Wojtaszczyk—6118101
LJul 31 · 04:30J. Nowak—79100W. Wojtaszczyk—1111123
WJul 16 · 17:10J. Nowak—381111113W. Wojtaszczyk—11117892
LJun 17 · 04:25J. Nowak—1167101W. Wojtaszczyk—61111123
WJun 10 · 06:00J. Nowak—11411113W. Wojtaszczyk—711991
LMay 21 · 03:35J. Nowak—5870W. Wojtaszczyk—1111113
J. Nowak10
WSep 7 · 06:30K. Schaniel1.731594991J. Nowak2.001311119113LSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130LSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113LSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113WSep 7 · 02:20J. Nowak2.251112113J. Pruszkowski1.5781070WSep 7 · 24:45S. Krupa1.571197101J. Nowak2.2591111123LSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971WSep 6 · 23:10J. Nowak1.3413116113R. Ogon2.901181181LSep 6 · 22:00J. Nowak2.60321141K. Schaniel1.4211117113LSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571
W. Wojtaszczyk10
LSep 6 · 16:40R. Wojcik2.901011124113W. Wojtaszczyk1.34127101142WSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 13:10R. Piechnik2.258611101W. Wojtaszczyk1.5711115123LSep 6 · 11:30K. Slawinski1.73511712113W. Wojtaszczyk2.00119111092WSep 6 · 10:40R. Wojcik2.60108100W. Wojtaszczyk1.441211123LSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980LSep 6 · 07:55M. Lach1.7111712123W. Wojtaszczyk2.0061110101LSep 6 · 07:10K. Slawinski1.47101111133W. Wojtaszczyk2.451265111WSep 5 · 13:30J. Nowak2.389111371W. Wojtaszczyk1.5311915113
Upcoming Matches
J. Nowak
Sep 7 · 08:10J. Nowak1.91R. Niemiec1.80—Sep 7 · 17:55J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 7 · 18:45J. Nowak—M. Sikon——Sep 7 · 19:55J. Nowak—P. Kurek——Sep 7 · 21:05J. Nowak—G. Marud——Sep 7 · 22:20J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 7 · 23:50J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 8 · 24:30J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 8 · 01:30J. Nowak—P. Kurek——Sep 8 · 03:05J. Nowak—G. Marud——
W. Wojtaszczyk
Nothing scheduled
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