TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12467968
Played Aug 21Finished
David Heczko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171214411114118
Oliver Hradil
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–5Last 6Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:33 and never touched — 50.0% is still 50.0%
Final score unavailable — not graded hereEven read — no favourite
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Pick
NoneHow it is goingDavid Heczko above · Oliver Hradil below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 93 set 5, 11-8 — our read held David Heczko at 50.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H David Heczko 2–0 Oliver Hradil Oliver Hradil has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:33What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Heczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1604 vs Hradil 1254
Heczko
Correct
both rated, 350 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 60% vs Hradil 20%
Heczko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 40% vs Hradil 17%
Heczko
Correct
23pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -2 · Hradil -3
Hradil
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heczko) · live re-read · sealed at 50% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradil form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 1.73 / Hradil 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Heczko)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12467968
Heczko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 97 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it76% 72 of 95
Hradil2.00
17%won 1 of 6 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest33%takes the first set · 2 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHeczko2wins
AwayHradil0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderHeczko leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHeczkoHradilHeczko − HradilBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match44.038.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoHradilBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 444 vs 1 / 855.2%12.5%245 / 444 vs 1 / 8Avg sets wonper match2.11.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.132.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeczkoHeczko 1.73/Hradil 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Heczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 21 · 12:59D. Heczko—61111113O. Hradil—117681
WAug 21 · 12:30D. Heczko—1112411113O. Hradil—71411482
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850
O. Hradil7
LAug 21 · 12:59D. Heczko1.4461111113O. Hradil2.63117681LAug 21 · 11:30O. Hradil2.00128811122S. Byrtus1.731011116143LAug 21 · 10:30E. Rychlik1.671111113O. Hradil2.107980LAug 21 · 08:58O. Hradil1.83691141R. Vavrecka1.8311113113WAug 21 · 08:30R. Vavrecka1.9051151192O. Hradil1.72116114113LAug 21 · 07:30O. Hradil1.917720P. Danko1.801111113LAug 21 · 06:30J. Schwan1.9511119113O. Hradil1.75611141
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