TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12004056
Played Jun 8Finished
Akito Itagaki
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117112––––
Bennet Robben
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAkito Itagaki above · Bennet Robben below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 49 set 3, 11-2
49 points played in total.
H2H Akito Itagaki 5–2 Bennet Robben Bennet Robben has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Itagaki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Robben form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsItagaki 1.67 / Robben 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Itagaki)+3.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12004056
Itagaki1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Robben2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeItagaki5wins
AwayRobben2wins
6 of 7 to a deciderItagaki leads 5–2, and 6 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeItagaki75%3 of 4
AwayRobben33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Itagaki4Robben3n = 7Itagaki took 4 of 7
S2Itagaki6Robben1n = 7Itagaki took 6 of 7
S3Itagaki2Robben5n = 7Robben took 5 of 7
S4Itagaki3Robben3n = 6split evenly
S5Itagaki4Robben2n = 6Itagaki took 4 of 6
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home457%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricItagakiRobbenI − RBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match49.342.0+7.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricItagakiRobbenBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 74 vs 34 / 8754.1%39.1%40 / 74 vs 34 / 87Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.233.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ItagakiItagaki 1.67/Robben 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Itagaki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Itagaki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WApr 30 · 17:30A. Itagaki—911611113B. Robben—11411672
WFeb 3 · 10:30A. Itagaki—1311811113B. Robben—15711342
WFeb 2 · 15:30A. Itagaki—1111133B. Robben—96110
WOct 31 · 10:45A. Itagaki—1191211113B. Robben—611101372
LOct 30 · 10:30A. Itagaki—111110892B. Robben—861211113
WOct 24 · 09:45A. Itagaki—1111910113B. Robben—88111242
LOct 23 · 13:30A. Itagaki—1211811112B. Robben—146117133
A. Itagaki10
WJul 17 · 10:29A. Itagaki3.00131111113J. Loffler1.361113831LJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340LJul 17 · 08:00M. Danzer1.25811611113A. Itagaki3.7511911552WJul 17 · 07:00A. Itagaki1.16116711113M. Stefanidis4.4541111852WJul 16 · 15:30A. Moreno4.339540A. Itagaki1.201111113LJul 16 · 13:30J. Loffler1.501011117113A. Itagaki2.5012851192LJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100WJul 16 · 09:00D. Zech4.33981381A. Itagaki1.20111111113WJul 16 · 07:00S. Happek2.7551131182A. Itagaki1.40118116113LJul 14 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.0596130O. Kosolosky1.331111153
B. Robben10
WJun 9 · 08:30B. Robben2.201111113T. Saltzer1.573430LJun 9 · 06:30B. Robben12.002330F. Bluhm1.011111113WJun 8 · 16:00B. Robben1.401411113S. Happek2.7512780WJun 8 · 12:30B. Robben2.051111123M. Stefanidis1.7077100LJun 8 · 11:00B. Robben3.7511260E. Mendes1.251311113LJun 8 · 07:00B. Robben2.1042040K. Walter1.671122113WMay 1 · 07:30D. Zech2.6331111962B. Robben1.44115711113LApr 30 · 17:30B. Robben1.8311411672A. Itagaki1.83911611113WApr 30 · 16:00M. Hollo1.2251111972B. Robben4.00119811113WApr 30 · 14:00A. Sverdlik5.50611831B. Robben1.1311811113
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