TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Grebeniuk vs Nazar Danyliuk 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played May 29Finished
Andrii Grebeniuk
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121191416113119
Nazar Danyliuk
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAndrii Grebeniuk above · Nazar Danyliuk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 106 set 5, 11-9
106 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Grebeniuk 59–20 Nazar Danyliuk Nazar Danyliuk has won 20 of their 79 meetings.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Grebeniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danyliuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrebeniuk 1.40 / Danyliuk 2.75
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Grebeniuk)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #11958358
Grebeniuk1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite74% won 29 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Danyliuk2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 57 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrebeniuk8wins
AwayDanyliuk2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGrebeniuk leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrebeniuk100%7 of 7
AwayDanyliuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grebeniuk7Danyliuk3n = 10Grebeniuk took 7 of 10
S2Grebeniuk8Danyliuk2n = 10Grebeniuk took 8 of 10
S3Grebeniuk6Danyliuk4n = 10Grebeniuk took 6 of 10
S4Grebeniuk2Danyliuk3n = 5Danyliuk took 3 of 5
S5Grebeniuk3Danyliuk1n = 4Grebeniuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrebeniukDanyliukG − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.634.0+5.6per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrebeniukDanyliukBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 456 vs 809 / 137679.4%58.8%362 / 456 vs 809 / 1376Avg sets wonper match2.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrebeniukGrebeniuk 1.40/Danyliuk 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.3%
Grebeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Grebeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 28 · 20:20A. Grebeniuk—3N. Danyliuk—0
WJan 9 · 08:50A. Grebeniuk—3N. Danyliuk—0
WNov 14 · 08:50A. Grebeniuk—3N. Danyliuk—0
LNov 11 · 08:05A. Grebeniuk—0N. Danyliuk—3
LNov 10 · 15:35A. Grebeniuk—2N. Danyliuk—3
WNov 9 · 23:30A. Grebeniuk—3N. Danyliuk—2
WOct 29 · 07:05A. Grebeniuk—3N. Danyliuk—2
WOct 28 · 17:05A. Grebeniuk—3N. Danyliuk—0
WOct 28 · 01:00A. Grebeniuk—3N. Danyliuk—2
WSep 11 · 14:50A. Grebeniuk—3N. Danyliuk—1
A. Grebeniuk10
LJun 19 · 18:55B. Kohut4.50111266123A. Grebeniuk1.172101111102WJun 19 · 17:25A. Grebeniuk1.2561111113V. Hryban3.75113991WJun 19 · 15:25A. Molochko3.75116411112A. Grebeniuk1.25711118133WJun 19 · 13:25N. Danyliuk3.00911571A. Grebeniuk1.3611811113WJun 19 · 12:25V. Verbyany5.50911621A. Grebeniuk1.1311811113LJun 19 · 02:45N. Danyliuk2.7511115113A. Grebeniuk1.40491161LJun 19 · 01:45V. Hryban3.7511118113A. Grebeniuk1.25481181WJun 19 · 24:15V. Verbyany6.0011291122A. Grebeniuk1.11511118113LJun 18 · 22:15A. Molochko3.75119811113A. Grebeniuk1.2541111492LJun 18 · 20:15B. Kohut5.001111113A. Grebeniuk1.148360
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 22 · 13:35N. Danyliuk1.441111113V. Verbyany2.636770LSep 22 · 12:05N. Danyliuk1.25117951D. Zeniuk3.7591111113LSep 22 · 24:30A. Molochko1.91113119113N. Danyliuk1.8081171152WSep 21 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.251111123B. Kohut3.7568100LSep 21 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.61911581V. Verbyany2.2011411113LSep 21 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.30711761D. Zeniuk3.4011411113WSep 15 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.2098100N. Danyliuk1.611111123LSep 15 · 08:55B. Kohut3.5011413113N. Danyliuk1.288111171LJun 19 · 13:25N. Danyliuk3.00911571A. Grebeniuk1.3611811113WJun 19 · 02:45N. Danyliuk2.7511115113A. Grebeniuk1.40491161
Upcoming Matches
A. Grebeniuk
Nothing scheduled
N. Danyliuk
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