TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11931879
Played May 23Finished
Mikolaj Gerke
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131171210811118
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
1.58
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
102 points played in total.
Set by set
11131171210811118
H2H Mikolaj Gerke 4–3 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Arkadiusz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGerke 2.15 / Arkadiusz 1.58
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Arkadiusz)-1.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #11931879
Gerke2.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog69% won 11 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back63% 5 of 8
Arkadiusz1.58
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 161 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it90% 74 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it69% 111 of 161
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeGerke4wins
AwayArkadiusz3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderGerke leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGerke50%2 of 4
AwayArkadiusz33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gerke4Arkadiusz3n = 7Gerke took 4 of 7
S2Gerke5Arkadiusz2n = 7Gerke took 5 of 7
S3Gerke3Arkadiusz4n = 7Arkadiusz took 4 of 7
S4Gerke2Arkadiusz5n = 7Arkadiusz took 5 of 7
S5Gerke2Arkadiusz1n = 3Gerke took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricGerkeArkadiuszG − ABasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match41.742.3−0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGerkeArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 65 vs 651 / 115946.2%56.2%30 / 65 vs 651 / 1159Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.641.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArkadiuszGerke 2.15/Arkadiusz 1.58
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Arkadiusz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gerke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WMay 23 · 06:05M. Gerke—3W. Arkadiusz—2
LMay 22 · 17:30M. Gerke—2W. Arkadiusz—3
WMay 7 · 22:10M. Gerke—3W. Arkadiusz—1
LMay 7 · 17:30M. Gerke—1W. Arkadiusz—3
WMay 6 · 20:00M. Gerke—3W. Arkadiusz—1
WMar 12 · 21:00M. Gerke—3W. Arkadiusz—2
LMar 11 · 17:00M. Gerke—1W. Arkadiusz—3
M. Gerke10
WMay 23 · 14:35P. Kamil—5914111M. Gerke—111112133LMay 23 · 12:05M. Gerke—9780P. Kamil—1111113WMay 23 · 10:35M. Gerke—11911123P. Kedzierski—7116101LMay 23 · 09:05M. Gerke—10111591K. Stojek—12817113WMay 23 · 07:35M. Gerke—1111113J. Komorowicz—9570WMay 22 · 22:40P. Kedzierski1.8298120M. Gerke1.821111143WMay 22 · 20:30M. Gerke—11612113P. Kamil—6111051WMay 22 · 18:30K. Stojek1.8869110M. Gerke1.761111133LMay 22 · 17:30M. Gerke2.1611611982W. Arkadiusz1.57411711113WMay 22 · 16:30J. Komorowicz1.75101117101M. Gerke1.9012919123
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133WSep 7 · 18:00W. Dariusz—912761W. Arkadiusz—111011113WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133WMay 22 · 17:30M. Gerke2.1611611982W. Arkadiusz1.57411711113
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