TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11929573
Played May 22Finished
Karol Stojek
Home
1.88
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6119111113––––
Mikolaj Gerke
Away
1.76
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
6119111113––––
H2H Karol Stojek 2–3 Mikolaj Gerke Karol Stojek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gerke)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gerke form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStojek 1.88 / Gerke 1.76
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gerke)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #11929573
Stojek1.88
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 98 of 294
Down 0–1, comes back17% 30 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 99
Gerke1.76
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeStojek2wins
AwayGerke3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderGerke leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStojekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayGerke50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stojek0Gerke4n = 4Gerke took 4 of 4
S2Stojek3Gerke1n = 4Stojek took 3 of 4
S3Stojek3Gerke1n = 4Stojek took 3 of 4
S4Stojek2Gerke1n = 3Stojek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricStojekGerkeS − GBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match41.539.8+1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStojekGerkeBasisWin rate · lifetime421 / 1127 vs 22 / 5437.4%40.7%421 / 1127 vs 22 / 54Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GerkeStojek 1.88/Gerke 1.76
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gerke · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gerke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LMay 7 · 14:30K. Stojek—0M. Gerke—3
WMar 12 · 15:00K. Stojek—3M. Gerke—1
WMar 11 · 16:30K. Stojek—3M. Gerke—1
LFeb 4 · 14:00K. Stojek—2M. Gerke—3
K. Stojek10
LJun 24 · 21:30L. Buklat—1111113K. Stojek—8660LJun 24 · 20:30J. Caban1.3411911113K. Stojek2.85911471LJun 24 · 19:30K. Patryk1.4411811113K. Stojek2.47411461LJun 24 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.04141111113K. Stojek1.64169791LJun 24 · 15:30L. Buklat1.3811118113K. Stojek2.65791161LJun 24 · 14:00J. Komorowicz1.44811911113K. Stojek2.4611911372LJun 23 · 22:10J. Komorowicz1.5111611113K. Stojek2.29611981WJun 23 · 21:00P. Kedzierski1.991211881K. Stojek1.6814711113LJun 23 · 19:30K. Stojek2.371191011122J. Komorowicz1.47911126143WJun 23 · 17:30M. Szostak1.42105100K. Stojek2.551211123
M. Gerke10
WMay 23 · 14:35P. Kamil—5914111M. Gerke—111112133LMay 23 · 12:05M. Gerke—9780P. Kamil—1111113WMay 23 · 10:35M. Gerke—11911123P. Kedzierski—7116101LMay 23 · 09:05M. Gerke—10111591K. Stojek—12817113WMay 23 · 07:35M. Gerke—1111113J. Komorowicz—9570WMay 23 · 06:05M. Gerke2.151111128113W. Arkadiusz1.58137101182WMay 22 · 22:40P. Kedzierski1.8298120M. Gerke1.821111143WMay 22 · 20:30M. Gerke—11612113P. Kamil—6111051LMay 22 · 17:30M. Gerke2.1611611982W. Arkadiusz1.57411711113WMay 22 · 16:30J. Komorowicz1.75101117101M. Gerke1.9012919123
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