TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Carlo Rossi vs Alex Moreno 3-1 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played May 25Finished
Carlo Rossi
Home
1.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114119911119––
Alex Moreno
Away
8.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingCarlo Rossi above · Alex Moreno below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9
75 points played in total.
H2H Carlo Rossi 1–0 Alex Moreno Alex Moreno has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Rossi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moreno form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (12%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRossi 1.05 / Moreno 8.50
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (Rossi)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11914799
Rossi1.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Moreno8.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRossi1wins
AwayMoreno0wins
Rossi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRossiMorenoR − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.033.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRossiMorenoBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 8 vs 13 / 9062.5%14.4%5 / 8 vs 13 / 90Avg sets wonper match2.30.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.828.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RossiRossi 1.05/Moreno 8.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89%
Rossi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rossi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 25 · 07:30C. Rossi—3A. Moreno—1
C. Rossi10
LSep 9 · 16:40C. Rossi2.7571181182F. Meng1.40119119113WSep 8 · 14:10N. Burgos1.8311611962C. Rossi1.83811911113WSep 8 · 12:30N. Burgos1.8311611962C. Rossi1.83811911113WSep 8 · 09:20F. Olivares3.007530C. Rossi1.361111113LJul 14 · 06:30I. Bertrand1.11111111113C. Rossi6.00581361LJul 13 · 16:30A. Itagaki4.501111113C. Rossi1.179890LJul 13 · 15:00V. Yefimov1.5711126113C. Rossi2.255101171WJul 13 · 13:30C. Rossi—91111113M. Stefanidis—112761LJul 13 · 11:30C. Rossi2.38156891O. Kosolosky1.53131111113WJul 13 · 10:00C. Rossi1.1011911113L. Carrillo6.50911561
A. Moreno10
LSep 22 · 08:00A. Moreno10.50510120R. Turrini1.021112143LSep 21 · 17:00A. Moreno2.105490C. Schmitt1.671111113LSep 21 · 15:00A. Moreno3.771171091M. Stefanidis1.2391112113LSep 21 · 14:00A. Moreno2.257980S. Happek1.571111113LSep 21 · 10:30A. Moreno—79120S. Almeida—1111143LSep 21 · 08:30A. Moreno8.506840O. Kosolosky1.051111113LSep 21 · 06:30A. Moreno3.25712521K. Zimmermann1.33111011113LAug 25 · 08:30A. Moreno1.73511571M. Kupfer2.0011911113WAug 25 · 06:30A. Moreno1.611111113J. Willeke2.208940LJul 13 · 08:00A. Moreno10.00113951C. Rossi1.0381111113
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