TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13098565
Played Sep 8Finished
Nicolas Burgos
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118611119911611
Carlo Rossi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeCarlo Rossi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNicolas Burgos above · Carlo Rossi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 93 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Carlo Rossi at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Nicolas Burgos 0–2 Carlo Rossi Nicolas Burgos has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Rossi beat Burgos 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Rossi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Burgos 0% vs Rossi 40%
Rossi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burgos 20% vs Rossi 60%
Rossi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burgos -5 · Rossi +2
Burgos
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rossi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rossi form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurgos 1.83 / Rossi 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rossi)+4.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13098565
Burgos1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Rossi1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBurgos0wins
AwayRossi2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderRossi leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBurgosRossiB − RBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match43.050.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurgosRossiBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 10 vs 6 / 1020%60%2 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RossiBurgos 1.83/Rossi 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rossi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rossi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 8 · 14:10N. Burgos4311611962C. Rossi50811911113
LSep 8 · 12:30N. Burgos4311611962C. Rossi50811911113
N. Burgos10
WSep 9 · 08:40N. Burgos1.831311113F. Olivares1.8311840LSep 8 · 12:30N. Burgos1.8311611962C. Rossi1.83811911113LAug 26 · 16:50N. Tauler2.3211119113N. Burgos1.52981191LJul 23 · 23:30I. Diaw1.6111116113N. Burgos2.20991111LJul 10 · 22:25I. Diaw—91111113N. Burgos—117681LJun 27 · 01:05N. Burgos3.554460E. Ranefur1.241111113WJun 26 · 17:35N. Burgos1.571111123G. Gomez2.2587100LFeb 20 · 03:35D. Habesohn1.57911119113N. Burgos2.2511541172LSep 25 · 03:00N. Burgos2.251071151H. Desai1.5712116113LSep 20 · 08:10Y. Uda1.91811115123N. Burgos1.80111511112
C. Rossi10
LSep 9 · 16:40C. Rossi2.7571181182F. Meng1.40119119113WSep 8 · 12:30N. Burgos1.8311611962C. Rossi1.83811911113WSep 8 · 09:20F. Olivares3.007530C. Rossi1.361111113LJul 14 · 06:30I. Bertrand1.11111111113C. Rossi6.00581361LJul 13 · 16:30A. Itagaki4.501111113C. Rossi1.179890LJul 13 · 15:00V. Yefimov1.5711126113C. Rossi2.255101171WJul 13 · 13:30C. Rossi—91111113M. Stefanidis—112761LJul 13 · 11:30C. Rossi2.38156891O. Kosolosky1.53131111113WJul 13 · 10:00C. Rossi1.1011911113L. Carrillo6.50911561WJul 13 · 08:00A. Moreno10.00113951C. Rossi1.0381111113
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