TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13097968
Played Sep 9Finished
Nicolas Burgos
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311118114––––
Felipe Olivares
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:30 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeFelipe Olivares to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingNicolas Burgos above · Felipe Olivares below
Set 1 · 2-0
Point 2 set 1, 2-0 — our read held Felipe Olivares at 57.5%
2 points drawn · the score is 56 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Nicolas Burgos 1–0 Felipe Olivares Felipe Olivares has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:30What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Olivares
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Burgos 0% vs Olivares 40%
Olivares
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burgos 10% vs Olivares 40%
Olivares
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burgos -5 · Olivares -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Olivares) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olivares form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurgos 1.83 / Olivares 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Olivares)+4.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13097968
Burgos1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Olivares1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBurgos1wins
AwayOlivares0wins
Burgos leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBurgosOlivaresB − OBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.023.0+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurgosOlivaresBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 10 vs 4 / 1010%40%1 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.51.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlivaresBurgos 1.83/Olivares 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Olivares · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Burgos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 08:40N. Burgos351311113F. Olivares2311840
N. Burgos10
LSep 8 · 14:10N. Burgos1.8311611962C. Rossi1.83811911113LSep 8 · 12:30N. Burgos1.8311611962C. Rossi1.83811911113LAug 26 · 16:50N. Tauler2.3211119113N. Burgos1.52981191LJul 23 · 23:30I. Diaw1.6111116113N. Burgos2.20991111LJul 10 · 22:25I. Diaw—91111113N. Burgos—117681LJun 27 · 01:05N. Burgos3.554460E. Ranefur1.241111113WJun 26 · 17:35N. Burgos1.571111123G. Gomez2.2587100LFeb 20 · 03:35D. Habesohn1.57911119113N. Burgos2.2511541172LSep 25 · 03:00N. Burgos2.251071151H. Desai1.5712116113LSep 20 · 08:10Y. Uda1.91811115123N. Burgos1.80111511112
F. Olivares10
LSep 8 · 09:20F. Olivares3.007530C. Rossi1.361111113LAug 26 · 10:55F. Olivares2.201110111252D. Szantosi1.615121310113LJul 23 · 22:55F. Olivares5.505990L. Nodrest1.131111113WJul 22 · 21:45F. Olivares8.001111116133V. Picard1.06913611112WJul 22 · 14:00F. Olivares—1111113F. Sousa—5760WApr 30 · 19:30H. Gendron—2340F. Olivares—1111113LApr 29 · 19:48M. Kubik1.171111113F. Olivares4.506980LApr 28 · 19:21F. Olivares8.008760V. Ursu1.061111103WJun 29 · 22:10R. Blanco2.254790F. Olivares1.571111113LMay 11 · 09:00O. Kveton—1112113F. Olivares—91070
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.