TT Lossbeater/European Champions League
European Champions LeagueMatch #11903983
Played May 17Finished
Truls Moregard
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–0Last 4Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
151315131210––––
Felix Lebrun
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–0Last 6Won last 2
How it is goingTruls Moregard above · Felix Lebrun below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-10
Point 77 set 3, 11-10
77 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Lebrun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moregard form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoregard 3.75 / Lebrun 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Lebrun)+0.0pp
European Champions League · #11903983
Moregard3.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Lebrun1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoregardLebrunBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 8 / 1080%80%8 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.52.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunMoregard 3.75/Lebrun 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Moregard won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Moregard10
LAug 11 · 17:10T. Moregard1.149380D. Ovtcharov5.001111113LJul 5 · 21:15T. Moregard1.34118111193V. Sidorenko2.8541153114LJul 5 · 18:15T. Moregard1.30118111193V. Sidorenko3.4041153114WJul 5 · 01:45W. Jang2.2046550T. Moregard1.61111111114WJul 4 · 02:45K. Jha3.75311591T. Moregard1.2511611113WJul 1 · 20:45A. Bertelsmeier4.501211116102T. Moregard1.171013511123WJun 29 · 21:55Q. Aruna4.5012650T. Moregard1.171411113WMay 17 · 14:00T. Moregard1.8311115113A. Lebrun1.83571161WMay 16 · 11:30T. Moregard1.05113141063P. Gionis8.50811121242WMay 7 · 21:20T. Moregard1.251111123G. Kuo3.7568100
F. Lebrun10
WAug 16 · 17:00F. Lebrun1.831111511104T. Harimoto1.835811991WAug 16 · 12:15D. Jorgic4.3355850F. Lebrun1.20111111114WAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 18:05F. Lebrun1.171111103T. Poret4.502440WAug 13 · 17:10F. Lebrun1.10111193G. Park6.509840WAug 12 · 10:35F. Lebrun1.0311118113E. Ionescu10.00451141LAug 8 · 08:30H. Shinozuka4.00812119114F. Lebrun1.22111081172WAug 6 · 05:00B. Duda4.509690F. Lebrun1.171111113WAug 4 · 02:00F. Coton4.504750F. Lebrun1.171111113LJul 5 · 20:30S. Matsushima1.9612111012124F. Lebrun1.701071210101
Upcoming Matches
T. Moregard
F. Lebrun
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