TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11818062
Played Apr 30Finished
Alexander Sverdlik
Home
6.50
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6114111012––––
Akito Itagaki
Away
1.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingAlexander Sverdlik above · Akito Itagaki below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 54 set 3, 10-12
54 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Sverdlik 1–4 Akito Itagaki Alexander Sverdlik has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Itagaki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Itagaki form (40%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSverdlik 6.50 / Itagaki 1.10
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Itagaki)+3.7pp
Challenger Series TT · #11818062
Sverdlik6.50
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Itagaki1.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSverdlik1wins
AwayItagaki4wins
Itagaki leads 4–1.
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sverdlik3Itagaki2n = 5Sverdlik took 3 of 5
S2Sverdlik1Itagaki4n = 5Itagaki took 4 of 5
S3Sverdlik0Itagaki5n = 5Itagaki took 5 of 5
S4Sverdlik1Itagaki2n = 3Itagaki took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricSverdlikItagakiS − IBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match28.036.2−8.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSverdlikItagakiBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 61 vs 67 / 1596.6%42.1%4 / 61 vs 67 / 159Avg sets wonper match0.51.7per matchAvg pointsper match23.835.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ItagakiSverdlik 6.50/Itagaki 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.2%
Itagaki · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Itagaki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
L—A. Sverdlik—0A. Itagaki—3
L—A. Sverdlik—3A. Itagaki—1
W—A. Sverdlik—1A. Itagaki—3
L—A. Sverdlik—1A. Itagaki—3
L—A. Sverdlik—0A. Itagaki—3
A. Sverdlik10
LMay 1 · 08:00A. Sverdlik2.756620M. Stefanidis1.371111113WApr 30 · 17:00A. Sverdlik10.50111D. Srivastava1.0260LApr 30 · 15:00A. Sverdlik11.00711691M. Scharrer1.0211911113LApr 30 · 14:00A. Sverdlik5.50611831B. Robben1.1311811113LApr 30 · 10:30A. Sverdlik4.00109100D. Zech1.221211123LApr 30 · 08:30A. Sverdlik9.001470M. Hollo1.041111113LNov 18 · 09:00A. Sverdlik3.254770P. Koloidenko1.331111113LNov 17 · 18:00A. Sverdlik10.0010R. Turrini1.0341LNov 17 · 16:00A. Sverdlik6.006730M. Hollo1.111111113LNov 17 · 15:00A. Sverdlik2.50122961L. Kraus1.50101111113
A. Itagaki10
WJul 17 · 10:29A. Itagaki3.00131111113J. Loffler1.361113831LJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340LJul 17 · 08:00M. Danzer1.25811611113A. Itagaki3.7511911552WJul 17 · 07:00A. Itagaki1.16116711113M. Stefanidis4.4541111852WJul 16 · 15:30A. Moreno4.339540A. Itagaki1.201111113LJul 16 · 13:30J. Loffler1.501011117113A. Itagaki2.5012851192LJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100WJul 16 · 09:00D. Zech4.33981381A. Itagaki1.20111111113WJul 16 · 07:00S. Happek2.7551131182A. Itagaki1.40118116113LJul 14 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.0596130O. Kosolosky1.331111153
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