TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Jaime Lama vs Bennet Robben 1-3 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Apr 27Finished
Jaime Lama
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–3Last 5Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111113117811––
Bennet Robben
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–4Last 5Lost last 4
How it is goingJaime Lama above · Bennet Robben below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 81 set 4, 8-11
81 points played in total.
H2H Jaime Lama 2–5 Bennet Robben Jaime Lama has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 52% — Coin-flip (leans Robben)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Robben form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLama 2.10 / Robben 1.67
Signal prob.48% / 52%
Edge (Robben)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11801693
Lama2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Robben1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeLama2wins
AwayRobben5wins
Robben leads 5–2.
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lama4Robben3n = 7Lama took 4 of 7
S2Lama1Robben6n = 7Robben took 6 of 7
S3Lama3Robben4n = 7Robben took 4 of 7
S4Lama0Robben3n = 3Robben took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricLamaRobbenL − RBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match34.337.4−3.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLamaRobbenBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 193 vs 29 / 7838.9%37.2%75 / 193 vs 29 / 78Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match33.632.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RobbenLama 2.10/Robben 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
51.8%
Robben · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Robben won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
W—J. Lama—2B. Robben—3
L—J. Lama—1B. Robben—3
L—J. Lama—2B. Robben—3
W—J. Lama—3B. Robben—0
L—J. Lama—3B. Robben—0
L—J. Lama—3B. Robben—0
L—J. Lama—3B. Robben—0
J. Lama10
LSep 15 · 08:00J. Lama5.006811101E. Mendes1.1411117123LSep 14 · 17:00J. Lama1.93771181T. Saltzer1.7711117113LSep 14 · 15:00J. Lama11.0010640I. Bertrand1.021211113LSep 14 · 14:00J. Lama2.2796100J. Loffler1.571111123LSep 14 · 10:30J. Lama1.28115111172S. Happek3.50311813113LSep 14 · 08:30J. Lama—9550S. Almeida—1111113LSep 14 · 06:30J. Lama—8370Y. Su—1111113WMay 22 · 08:00J. Lama1.53911111113S. Happek2.3811911462LMay 21 · 17:00J. Lama10.008590M. Danzer1.031111113LMay 21 · 15:00J. Lama2.109111712102L. Kraus1.671191514123
B. Robben10
WJun 9 · 08:30B. Robben2.201111113T. Saltzer1.573430LJun 9 · 06:30B. Robben12.002330F. Bluhm1.011111113WJun 8 · 16:00B. Robben1.401411113S. Happek2.7512780WJun 8 · 12:30B. Robben2.051111123M. Stefanidis1.7077100LJun 8 · 11:00B. Robben3.7511260E. Mendes1.251311113LJun 8 · 08:30A. Itagaki1.671111113B. Robben2.107720LJun 8 · 07:00B. Robben2.1042040K. Walter1.671122113WMay 1 · 07:30D. Zech2.6331111962B. Robben1.44115711113LApr 30 · 17:30B. Robben1.8311411672A. Itagaki1.83911611113WApr 30 · 16:00M. Hollo1.2251111972B. Robben4.00119811113
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