TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11629976
Played Mar 22Finished
Michal Kolbusovsky
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119411711911––
Karel Kraml
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMichal Kolbusovsky above · Karel Kraml below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Michal Kolbusovsky 2–4 Karel Kraml Michal Kolbusovsky has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolbusovsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraml form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolbusovsky 1.83 / Kraml 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolbusovsky)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #11629976
The market does not separate these two
1.83 against 1.83 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Kolbusovsky1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kraml1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKolbusovsky2wins
AwayKraml4wins
Kraml leads 4–2.
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolbusovsky3Kraml3n = 6split evenly
S2Kolbusovsky4Kraml2n = 6Kolbusovsky took 4 of 6
S3Kolbusovsky4Kraml2n = 6Kolbusovsky took 4 of 6
S4Kolbusovsky2Kraml3n = 5Kraml took 3 of 5
S5Kolbusovsky0Kraml3n = 3Kraml took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away350%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKolbusovskyKramlKolbusovsky − KramlBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match41.742.0−0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolbusovskyKramlBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 451 vs 17 / 4252.8%40.5%238 / 451 vs 17 / 42Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.430.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbusovskyKolbusovsky 1.83/Kraml 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolbusovsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kraml won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
L—M. Kolbusovsky—1K. Kraml—3
W—M. Kolbusovsky—3K. Kraml—1
L—M. Kolbusovsky—3K. Kraml—2
L—M. Kolbusovsky—3K. Kraml—2
L—M. Kolbusovsky—3K. Kraml—2
W—M. Kolbusovsky—0K. Kraml—3
M. Kolbusovsky10
WSep 4 · 17:25M. Kolbusovsky2.0013117113M. Nemec1.701161171WSep 4 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.751181110113J. Rolik1.4071181282LSep 4 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky4.3310390R. Zeman1.201211113WSep 4 · 14:20M. Kolbusovsky2.38914116113M. Nemec1.53111241182WSep 2 · 18:00M. Kolbusovsky1.93911511113P. Cibik1.7811811852WSep 2 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.38111158113M. Nemec1.5368111132LSep 2 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky3.5041151192M. Cesak1.28117118113WSep 2 · 14:20M. Kolbusovsky3.00741111123P. Cibik1.36111179102LAug 11 · 10:04M. Kolbusovsky2.251013781S. Matousch1.57121111113LAug 11 · 08:55M. Kolbusovsky3.251081181J. Vintr1.3312119113
K. Kraml10
LMar 22 · 09:20M. Nemec1.731110511113K. Kraml2.0051211432LMar 22 · 08:50M. Kolbusovsky2.2091111123K. Kraml1.611195101LMar 22 · 07:50K. Kraml1.736660L. Pour2.001111113LMar 2 · 14:50K. Kraml1.73161161082J. Rolik2.001441112113WMar 2 · 13:20O. Sebek2.387960K. Kraml1.531111113WMar 2 · 12:50J. Rolik1.67871151K. Kraml2.1011116113WMar 2 · 11:50K. Kraml1.73119712113M. Kolbusovsky2.00911111082WFeb 19 · 14:55K. Kraml—911712113M. Kolbusovsky—118111082WFeb 19 · 13:20O. Sebek1.9135110K. Kraml1.801111133LFeb 19 · 12:50M. Nemec1.73913811113K. Kraml2.00111111492
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