Piotr Przewlocki vs Jakub Pruszkowski · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Starts Oct 13, 03:00Scheduled

Piotr Przewlocki

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 3

2–8Last 10Lost last 3

Head to head

7 – 29

All 36 meetings · 19.4%

Last 10 · 4–6Same side

Jakub Pruszkowski

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

7–3Last 10Won last 1

Piotr Przewlocki arrives off 3 straight losses.

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Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.909 / Pruszkowski 1.80

They have already met 2 times today · last one 14h before this match

Pruszkowski beat Przewlocki 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePrzewlocki4wins

AwayPruszkowski6wins

7 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePrzewlockin = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayPruszkowski62.5%5 of 8

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Przewlocki2Pruszkowski8n = 10Pruszkowski took 8 of 10

S2Przewlocki8Pruszkowski2n = 10Przewlocki took 8 of 10

S3Przewlocki3Pruszkowski7n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10

S4Przewlocki4Pruszkowski6n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10

S5Przewlocki4Pruszkowski3n = 7Przewlocki took 4 of 7

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricPrzewlockiPruszkowskiPrzewlocki − PruszkowskiBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match43.146.2−3.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPrzewlockiPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime525 / 1095 vs 1173 / 185848%63.1%525 / 1095 vs 1173 / 1858Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.1per match

TT Elite Series · #13285055

Przewlocki1.91

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog38% won 139 of 365

Down 0–1, comes back24% 53 of 222

Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 107

Pruszkowski1.80

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite65% won 435 of 671

Up 2–0, closes it95% 221 of 233

Up 1–0, closes it82% 333 of 408

Piotr Przewlocki vs Jakub Pruszkowski · TT Elite Series

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Piotr Przewlocki vs Jakub Pruszkowski · TT Elite Series

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary