Adrian Wiecek vs Dmitrij Prokopcov · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Starts Oct 13, 03:00Scheduled

Adrian Wiecek

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Head to head

4 – 0

All 4 meetings · 100.0%

Last 4 · 4–0Same side

Dmitrij Prokopcov

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 9

1–9Last 10Lost last 9

Dmitrij Prokopcov arrives off 9 straight losses.

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Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsWiecek 1.727 / Prokopcov 2.00

Same-day rematch · 17h before this match

Wiecek beat Prokopcov 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeWiecek4wins

AwayProkopcov0wins

1 of 4 to a deciderWiecek leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeWiecek100%3 of 3

AwayProkopcovn = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Wiecek3Prokopcov1n = 4Wiecek took 3 of 4

S2Wiecek3Prokopcov1n = 4Wiecek took 3 of 4

S3Wiecek3Prokopcov1n = 4Wiecek took 3 of 4

S4Wiecek2Prokopcov1n = 3Wiecek took 2 of 3

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home125%

3–1Four sets, home250%

3–2Decider, home125%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 4 meetings

MetricWiecekProkopcovW − PBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.836.0+5.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricWiecekProkopcovBasisWin rate · lifetime746 / 1360 vs 111 / 25454.9%43.7%746 / 1360 vs 111 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.1per match

TT Elite Series · #13284915

Wiecek1.73

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite64% won 161 of 250

Up 2–0, closes it92% 57 of 62

Up 1–0, closes it81% 115 of 142

Prokopcov2.00

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 9

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog27% won 36 of 134

Down 0–1, comes back15% 12 of 78

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 48

Adrian Wiecek vs Dmitrij Prokopcov · TT Elite Series

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Adrian Wiecek vs Dmitrij Prokopcov · TT Elite Series

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary