Petr David vs Adrian Wiecek 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Petr David

Home

1.53

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

14129111614115––

Adrian Wiecek

Away

2.38

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:03 and never touched: 64.4% is still 64.4%

Graded at full time

Petr David to win

64.4%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingPetr David above · Adrian Wiecek below

Set 1 · 14-12

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 16-14

Set 4 · 11-5

Point 92 set 4, 11-5 · our read held Petr David at 64.4%

92 points played in total.

H2H Petr David 71–40 Adrian Wiecek Adrian Wiecek has won 40 of their 111 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

David

David 1.53/Wiecek 2.38

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

64.4%

David · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

David won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 06:03

64.4%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533

short by 0.8pp

65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

David

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

71-40 in 111

David

Correct

gap of 31 in 111, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

David 2001 vs Wiecek 1868

David

Correct

both rated, 133 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

David 80% vs Wiecek 40%

David

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

David 70% vs Wiecek 40%

David

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

David -1 · Wiecek -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans David) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

David: form 80%, the price implies 65%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDavid 1.533 / Wiecek 2.375

Signal prob.64% / 36%

Edge (David)-0.8pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDavid5wins

AwayWiecek5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDavid62.5%5 of 8

AwayWiecekn = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1David8Wiecek2n = 10David took 8 of 10

S2David5Wiecek5n = 10split evenly

S3David6Wiecek4n = 10David took 6 of 10

S4David3Wiecek5n = 8Wiecek took 5 of 8

S5David1Wiecek3n = 4Wiecek took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricDavidWiecekD − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.240.7+1.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDavidWiecekBasisWin rate · lifetime660 / 996 vs 743 / 135366.3%54.9%660 / 996 vs 743 / 1353Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.040.3per match

TT Elite Series · #13279846

David1.53

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite66% won 237 of 359

Up 2–0, closes it94% 117 of 124

Up 1–0, closes it81% 172 of 213

Wiecek2.38

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog38% won 74 of 194

Down 0–1, comes back17% 18 of 106

Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48

Petr David vs Adrian Wiecek 3-1 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Petr David vs Adrian Wiecek 3-1 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.