Adrian Wiecek vs Jakub Kuzmicz 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Adrian Wiecek

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

911711115811––

Jakub Kuzmicz

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 10

Form at publish

10–0Last 10Won last 10

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:18 and never touched: 54.1% is still 54.1%

Graded at full time

Adrian Wiecek to win

54.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingAdrian Wiecek above · Jakub Kuzmicz below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 8-11

Point 73 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Adrian Wiecek at 54.1%

73 points played in total.

H2H Adrian Wiecek 7–6 Jakub Kuzmicz Jakub Kuzmicz has won 6 of their 13 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Wiecek

Wiecek 1.73/Kuzmicz 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.1%

Wiecek · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Kuzmicz won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 07:18

54.1%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.8pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Wiecek

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

7-6 in 13

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Wiecek 1856 vs Kuzmicz 1889

Kuzmicz

Correct

both rated, 33 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Wiecek 40% vs Kuzmicz 100%

Kuzmicz

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Wiecek 30% vs Kuzmicz 100%

Kuzmicz

Correct

70pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Wiecek -2 · Kuzmicz +10

Kuzmicz

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Wiecek) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kuzmicz: form 100%, the price implies 50%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsWiecek 1.727 / Kuzmicz 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Wiecek)-3.8pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeWiecek5wins

AwayKuzmicz5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeWiecek66.7%4 of 6

AwayKuzmicz75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Wiecek6Kuzmicz4n = 10Wiecek took 6 of 10

S2Wiecek4Kuzmicz6n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10

S3Wiecek5Kuzmicz5n = 10split evenly

S4Wiecek7Kuzmicz2n = 9Wiecek took 7 of 9

S5Wiecek1Kuzmicz3n = 4Kuzmicz took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricWiecekKuzmiczW − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.639.5+4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricWiecekKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime743 / 1354 vs 760 / 132054.9%57.6%743 / 1354 vs 760 / 1320Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.339.9per match

TT Elite Series · #13279719

Wiecek1.73

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite64% won 161 of 250

Up 2–0, closes it92% 57 of 62

Up 1–0, closes it81% 115 of 142

Kuzmicz2.00

100%won 10 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog51% won 133 of 261

Down 0–1, comes back34% 44 of 130

Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 49

Adrian Wiecek vs Jakub Kuzmicz 1-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Adrian Wiecek vs Jakub Kuzmicz 1-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.