Dmitrij Prokopcov vs Jakub Kuzmicz 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Dmitrij Prokopcov

Home

2.38

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

11510121151113911

Jakub Kuzmicz

Away

1.53

At publish

Won last 9

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Won last 9

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:13 and never touched: 62.4% is still 62.4%

Graded at full time

Jakub Kuzmicz to win

62.4%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingDmitrij Prokopcov above · Jakub Kuzmicz below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 11-13

Set 5 · 9-11

Point 98 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Jakub Kuzmicz at 62.4%

98 points played in total.

H2H Dmitrij Prokopcov 1–4 Jakub Kuzmicz Dmitrij Prokopcov has won 1 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 1–4Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kuzmicz

Prokopcov 2.38/Kuzmicz 1.53

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

62.4%

Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Kuzmicz won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 05:13

62.4%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533

short by 2.8pp

65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)

What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

Kuzmicz

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

1-4 in 5

Kuzmicz

Correct

gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Prokopcov 1782 vs Kuzmicz 1868

Kuzmicz

Correct

both rated, 87 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Prokopcov 60% vs Kuzmicz 100%

Kuzmicz

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Prokopcov 60% vs Kuzmicz 90%

Kuzmicz

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Prokopcov -2 · Kuzmicz +9

Kuzmicz

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Kuzmicz) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kuzmicz: form 100%, the price implies 65%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsProkopcov 2.375 / Kuzmicz 1.533

Signal prob.38% / 62%

Edge (Kuzmicz)-2.8pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeProkopcov1wins

AwayKuzmicz4wins

1 of 5 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeProkopcovn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayKuzmicz100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Prokopcov2Kuzmicz3n = 5Kuzmicz took 3 of 5

S2Prokopcov1Kuzmicz4n = 5Kuzmicz took 4 of 5

S3Prokopcov1Kuzmicz4n = 5Kuzmicz took 4 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home120%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away120%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away360%

These 5 meetings

MetricProkopcovKuzmiczP − KBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match29.237.2−8.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricProkopcovKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 247 vs 758 / 131844.9%57.5%111 / 247 vs 758 / 1318Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.9per match

TT Elite Series · #13279728

Prokopcov2.38

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog27% won 36 of 134

Down 0–1, comes back15% 12 of 78

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 48

Kuzmicz1.53

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 9

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite62% won 389 of 625

Up 2–0, closes it98% 166 of 169

Up 1–0, closes it82% 274 of 335

Dmitrij Prokopcov vs Jakub Kuzmicz 2-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Dmitrij Prokopcov vs Jakub Kuzmicz 2-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.