TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Poliniewicz vs Dmitrij Prokopcov 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1412115911911119
Dmitrij Prokopcov
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:44 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeDmitrij Prokopcov to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
102 points played in total.
Set by set
1412115911911119
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 2–6 Dmitrij Prokopcov Grzegorz Poliniewicz has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Poliniewicz beat Prokopcov 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Prokopcov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Prokopcov
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1677 vs Prokopcov 1788
Prokopcov
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Prokopcov 80%
Prokopcov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 50% vs Prokopcov 70%
Prokopcov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz +2 · Prokopcov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Prokopcov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokopcov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 2.15 / Prokopcov 1.60
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Prokopcov)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13177560
Poliniewicz2.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 128 of 353
Down 0–1, comes back19% 39 of 202
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 122
Prokopcov1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 58 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it83% 39 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePoliniewicz2wins
AwayProkopcov6wins
6 of 8 to a deciderProkopcov leads 6–2, and 6 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoliniewicz25%1 of 4
AwayProkopcov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poliniewicz4Prokopcov4n = 8split evenly
S2Poliniewicz3Prokopcov5n = 8Prokopcov took 5 of 8
S3Poliniewicz5Prokopcov3n = 8Poliniewicz took 5 of 8
S4Poliniewicz3Prokopcov4n = 7Prokopcov took 4 of 7
S5Poliniewicz1Prokopcov5n = 6Prokopcov took 5 of 6
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away563%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricPoliniewiczProkopcovPoliniewicz − ProkopcovBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match43.542.2+1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczProkopcovBasisWin rate · lifetime1221 / 2086 vs 108 / 24158.5%44.8%1221 / 2086 vs 108 / 241Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkopcovPoliniewicz 2.15/Prokopcov 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Prokopcov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Poliniewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 23 · 07:15G. Poliniewicz47151011113D. Prokopcov321312431
WAug 19 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz511011118113D. Prokopcov4112291172
LAug 18 · 11:45G. Poliniewicz51119111192D. Prokopcov41411213113
LJul 14 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz47111112582D. Prokopcov52881411113
LJul 14 · 06:00G. Poliniewicz47116111182D. Prokopcov49131186113
LJun 25 · 11:45G. Poliniewicz4211119652D. Prokopcov46761111113
LJun 25 · 04:55G. Poliniewicz236980D. Prokopcov331111113
LJun 16 · 10:55G. Poliniewicz4073111182D. Prokopcov44111165113
G. Poliniewicz10
LSep 23 · 09:45M. Rutkowski1.6511114113G. Poliniewicz1.99871191WSep 23 · 08:30K. Strowski1.6816611482G. Poliniewicz2.081411911113WSep 23 · 07:15G. Poliniewicz2.10151011113D. Prokopcov1.671312431LSep 23 · 06:00J. Kwapis1.90101111113G. Poliniewicz1.76129591LSep 23 · 04:50K. Wloczko1.361011711113G. Poliniewicz2.8512911542LSep 23 · 03:20K. Kapik1.73911811113G. Poliniewicz2.0011811992WSep 21 · 14:15G. Poliniewicz1.71111011173K. Wisniewski2.003128151WSep 21 · 12:35M. Rutkowski1.90119111172G. Poliniewicz1.80131198113WSep 21 · 11:45M. Sklensky1.41812111282G. Poliniewicz2.601110614113LSep 21 · 10:55G. Poliniewicz1.80871171P. Jendrzejewski1.8511119113
D. Prokopcov10
WSep 23 · 09:00J. Kwapis2.15511461D. Prokopcov1.6011511113WSep 23 · 08:05K. Wloczko1.807340D. Prokopcov1.901111113LSep 23 · 07:15G. Poliniewicz2.10151011113D. Prokopcov1.671312431WSep 23 · 05:15K. Kapik1.701711861D. Prokopcov1.9519511113WSep 23 · 04:25J. Kwapis2.254280D. Prokopcov1.571111113WSep 23 · 03:00K. Strowski1.54611111042D. Prokopcov2.25115812113LSep 22 · 14:35P. Jendrzejewski1.9011115113D. Prokopcov1.80761181WSep 22 · 13:25D. Prokopcov3.2011811113J. Kuzmicz1.30911791LSep 22 · 12:10M. Murawski1.521211113D. Prokopcov2.3710970WSep 22 · 10:55K. Strowski1.55511141D. Prokopcov2.2511114113
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