TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711119711––
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Poliniewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
811711119711––
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3–1 Patryk Jendrzejewski Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Poliniewicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Poliniewicz
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1662 vs Jendrzejewski 1642
Poliniewicz
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 60% vs Jendrzejewski 40%
Poliniewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Jendrzejewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz -1 · Jendrzejewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Poliniewicz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 1.80 / Jendrzejewski 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Poliniewicz)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13167453
Poliniewicz1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 318 of 449
Up 2–0, closes it95% 142 of 150
Up 1–0, closes it84% 233 of 278
Jendrzejewski1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePoliniewicz3wins
AwayJendrzejewski1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderPoliniewicz leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poliniewicz2Jendrzejewski2n = 4split evenly
S2Poliniewicz2Jendrzejewski2n = 4split evenly
S3Poliniewicz3Jendrzejewski1n = 4Poliniewicz took 3 of 4
S4Poliniewicz2Jendrzejewski2n = 4split evenly
S5Poliniewicz2Jendrzejewski1n = 3Poliniewicz took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricPoliniewiczJendrzejewskiP − JBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match44.541.0+3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1224 / 2091 vs 369 / 75558.5%48.9%1224 / 2091 vs 369 / 755Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoliniewiczPoliniewicz 1.80/Jendrzejewski 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 17 · 13:25G. Poliniewicz49911117113P. Jendrzejewski4511871182
LSep 16 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz3931191152P. Jendrzejewski48118117113
WSep 16 · 05:35G. Poliniewicz521181111113P. Jendrzejewski4481161362
WMar 14 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz3811511113P. Jendrzejewski27511651
G. Poliniewicz10
WSep 21 · 11:45M. Sklensky1.41812111282G. Poliniewicz2.601110614113LSep 21 · 09:45G. Poliniewicz1.86131711162K. Kapik1.831119119113WSep 20 · 07:45R. Stapor3.509680G. Poliniewicz1.281111113WSep 20 · 06:55G. Kesik3.003710G. Poliniewicz1.361111113LSep 20 · 06:05G. Poliniewicz1.6781191182R. Chrzescian2.10118119113WSep 20 · 04:30G. Poliniewicz1.671111118113D. Solilo2.1071381172WSep 20 · 03:45M. Minda3.0051040G. Poliniewicz1.361112113LSep 19 · 14:35D. Kostal2.6311811133G. Poliniewicz1.448119111LSep 19 · 13:20G. Poliniewicz3.0081211552J. Stecyszyn1.361110711113LSep 19 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.221011811113G. Poliniewicz4.0012811532
P. Jendrzejewski10
LSep 21 · 12:10K. Kapik2.0011119113P. Jendrzejewski1.72771171LSep 21 · 09:20M. Rutkowski1.801110811123P. Jendrzejewski1.90612116102WSep 21 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski1.65129145133K. Wisniewski2.0510111211112LSep 21 · 06:25K. Wloczko1.52111148113P. Jendrzejewski2.3569111152WSep 21 · 05:35M. Rutkowski1.80611661P. Jendrzejewski1.9011711113LSep 21 · 04:50P. Jendrzejewski1.85811981K. Kapik1.8011711113LSep 21 · 03:40P. Jendrzejewski2.35712641M. Sklensky1.52111011113WSep 17 · 14:15D. Solilo2.40641181P. Jendrzejewski1.5011119113LSep 17 · 13:25G. Poliniewicz1.85911117113P. Jendrzejewski1.7911871182LSep 17 · 11:20K. Kapik1.80911711113P. Jendrzejewski1.8511511992
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