TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13143751
Played Sep 17Finished
Krzysztof Kapik
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911115711119119
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:41 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kapik to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
911115711119119
H2H Krzysztof Kapik 39–34 Patryk Jendrzejewski Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 34 of their 73 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:41What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kapik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-34 in 73
Kapik
Correct
gap of 5 in 73, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kapik 1708 vs Jendrzejewski 1663
Kapik
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kapik 40% vs Jendrzejewski 60%
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kapik 40% vs Jendrzejewski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kapik +2 · Jendrzejewski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kapik) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kapik form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKapik 1.80 / Jendrzejewski 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kapik)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13143751
Kapik1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 228 of 363
Up 2–0, closes it96% 108 of 113
Up 1–0, closes it79% 152 of 193
Jendrzejewski1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 67 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKapik6wins
AwayJendrzejewski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKapik leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKapik83.3%5 of 6
AwayJendrzejewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kapik6Jendrzejewski4n = 10Kapik took 6 of 10
S2Kapik5Jendrzejewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Kapik4Jendrzejewski6n = 10Jendrzejewski took 6 of 10
S4Kapik8Jendrzejewski1n = 9Kapik took 8 of 9
S5Kapik2Jendrzejewski3n = 5Jendrzejewski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKapikJendrzejewskiK − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.140.9+2.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKapikJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1128 / 2120 vs 366 / 74753.2%49%1128 / 2120 vs 366 / 747Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KapikKapik 1.80/Jendrzejewski 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kapik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kapik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 03:00K. Kapik46111181242P. Jendrzejewski531381110113
WSep 16 · 12:10K. Kapik51119811123P. Jendrzejewski45911114102
LSep 16 · 04:50K. Kapik341149101P. Jendrzejewski4391111123
LJul 30 · 21:25K. Kapik3939111152P. Jendrzejewski48111187113
WJul 30 · 16:55K. Kapik4611168113P. Jendrzejewski439141191
WJul 29 · 18:05K. Kapik331111113P. Jendrzejewski193970
LJul 23 · 18:50K. Kapik47911101162P. Jendrzejewski45115126113
WJul 22 · 17:40K. Kapik44111111113P. Jendrzejewski38813981
WJul 15 · 23:55K. Kapik491211411113P. Jendrzejewski48101311772
WJul 15 · 21:45K. Kapik4291111113P. Jendrzejewski27114571
K. Kapik10
WSep 17 · 10:05M. Rutkowski1.754760K. Kapik1.901111113WSep 17 · 09:20K. Kapik1.8581113113G. Poliniewicz1.791141191LSep 17 · 08:30K. Kapik1.83911891M. Olbrycht1.8711811113LSep 17 · 06:50K. Kapik1.851081171D. Kosmal1.8512113113LSep 17 · 05:35K. Kapik2.4510790J. Kuzmicz1.491211113WSep 17 · 04:00K. Kapik1.63118116113K. Wisniewski2.0591171152LSep 17 · 03:00K. Kapik1.85111181242P. Jendrzejewski1.791381110113LSep 16 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz1.831111910113K. Kapik1.8398111292LSep 16 · 13:00M. Olbrycht1.94511511113K. Kapik1.7111911782WSep 16 · 12:10K. Kapik1.90119811123P. Jendrzejewski1.80911114102
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 17 · 10:30M. Olbrycht1.99136561P. Jendrzejewski1.68111111113WSep 17 · 09:00M. Rutkowski1.74125471P. Jendrzejewski1.90101111113LSep 17 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz2.1551111113P. Jendrzejewski1.63117991WSep 17 · 07:15M. Olbrycht1.99671171P. Jendrzejewski1.6811118113LSep 17 · 05:15K. Wisniewski2.131111113P. Jendrzejewski1.599480WSep 17 · 04:25D. Kosmal2.297870P. Jendrzejewski1.511111113WSep 17 · 03:00K. Kapik1.85111181242P. Jendrzejewski1.791381110113LSep 16 · 14:35M. Olbrycht1.97991111113P. Jendrzejewski1.6911118972LSep 16 · 13:25P. Jendrzejewski1.65981111112D. Kosmal2.10111155133LSep 16 · 12:10K. Kapik1.90119811123P. Jendrzejewski1.80911114102
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