TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13143755
Played Sep 17Finished
Michal Olbrycht
Home
1.99
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311611511611––
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
1.68
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:42 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Olbrycht to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1311611511611––
H2H Michal Olbrycht 18–16 Patryk Jendrzejewski Patryk Jendrzejewski has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Jendrzejewski beat Olbrycht 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:42What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (54%)
Jendrzejewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-16 in 34
Olbrycht
Wrong
gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Olbrycht 1673 vs Jendrzejewski 1651
Olbrycht
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olbrycht 40% vs Jendrzejewski 60%
Jendrzejewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olbrycht 60% vs Jendrzejewski 40%
Olbrycht
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Olbrycht -1 · Jendrzejewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Jendrzejewski) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olbrycht form (40%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlbrycht 1.99 / Jendrzejewski 1.68
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Jendrzejewski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13143755
Olbrycht1.99
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 89 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back20% 29 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 74
Jendrzejewski1.68
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 128 of 227
Up 2–0, closes it97% 64 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it83% 104 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOlbrycht7wins
AwayJendrzejewski3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderOlbrycht leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOlbrycht100%4 of 4
AwayJendrzejewski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Olbrycht4Jendrzejewski6n = 10Jendrzejewski took 6 of 10
S2Olbrycht5Jendrzejewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Olbrycht6Jendrzejewski4n = 10Olbrycht took 6 of 10
S4Olbrycht4Jendrzejewski3n = 7Olbrycht took 4 of 7
S5Olbrycht5Jendrzejewski1n = 6Olbrycht took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOlbrychtJendrzejewskiO − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.741.7−1.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlbrychtJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime373 / 785 vs 365 / 74647.5%48.9%373 / 785 vs 365 / 746Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JendrzejewskiOlbrycht 1.99/Jendrzejewski 1.68
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55%
Jendrzejewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jendrzejewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 07:15M. Olbrycht31671171P. Jendrzejewski4111118113
WSep 16 · 14:35M. Olbrycht51991111113P. Jendrzejewski4611118972
WSep 16 · 03:40M. Olbrycht331111113P. Jendrzejewski279990
WJul 23 · 20:30M. Olbrycht46117611113P. Jendrzejewski4791111882
WApr 15 · 23:25M. Olbrycht44115116113P. Jendrzejewski4571171192
LApr 15 · 21:05M. Olbrycht226880P. Jendrzejewski331111113
WApr 15 · 17:50M. Olbrycht48813311133P. Jendrzejewski521111118112
WApr 15 · 01:30M. Olbrycht361411113P. Jendrzejewski2712690
LApr 14 · 23:00M. Olbrycht4481171172P. Jendrzejewski51119119113
WApr 14 · 16:40M. Olbrycht52715118113P. Jendrzejewski48111381152
M. Olbrycht10
LSep 17 · 09:45D. Solilo2.25811128113M. Olbrycht1.57119101182WSep 17 · 08:30K. Kapik1.83911891M. Olbrycht1.8711811113LSep 17 · 07:15M. Olbrycht1.99671171P. Jendrzejewski1.6811118113WSep 17 · 06:00D. Kosmal1.708880M. Olbrycht2.001111113LSep 17 · 04:50J. Kuzmicz1.4011911123M. Olbrycht2.608119101WSep 17 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.9711116972M. Olbrycht1.69881111113WSep 16 · 14:35M. Olbrycht1.97991111113P. Jendrzejewski1.6911118972WSep 16 · 13:00M. Olbrycht1.94511511113K. Kapik1.7111911782WSep 16 · 11:45M. Olbrycht2.09813811113M. Rutkowski1.61111111592LSep 16 · 10:05M. Olbrycht1.97101151162G. Poliniewicz1.69126117113
P. Jendrzejewski10
LSep 17 · 11:20K. Kapik1.80911711113P. Jendrzejewski1.8511511992WSep 17 · 09:00M. Rutkowski1.74125471P. Jendrzejewski1.90101111113LSep 17 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz2.1551111113P. Jendrzejewski1.63117991WSep 17 · 07:15M. Olbrycht1.99671171P. Jendrzejewski1.6811118113LSep 17 · 05:15K. Wisniewski2.131111113P. Jendrzejewski1.599480WSep 17 · 04:25D. Kosmal2.297870P. Jendrzejewski1.511111113WSep 17 · 03:00K. Kapik1.85111181242P. Jendrzejewski1.791381110113LSep 16 · 14:35M. Olbrycht1.97991111113P. Jendrzejewski1.6911118972LSep 16 · 13:25P. Jendrzejewski1.65981111112D. Kosmal2.10111155133LSep 16 · 12:10K. Kapik1.90119811123P. Jendrzejewski1.80911114102
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