TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Mateusz Rutkowski
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11610128111161210
Patryk Jendrzejewski
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:15 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timePatryk Jendrzejewski to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
11610128111161210
H2H Mateusz Rutkowski 42–63 Patryk Jendrzejewski Mateusz Rutkowski has won 42 of their 105 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:15What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rutkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-63 in 105
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
gap of 21 in 105, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rutkowski 1666 vs Jendrzejewski 1652
Rutkowski
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rutkowski 20% vs Jendrzejewski 40%
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rutkowski 30% vs Jendrzejewski 50%
Jendrzejewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rutkowski -4 · Jendrzejewski +1
Rutkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rutkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jendrzejewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRutkowski 1.80 / Jendrzejewski 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rutkowski)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13166846
Rutkowski1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite71% won 360 of 505
Up 2–0, closes it98% 177 of 181
Up 1–0, closes it89% 284 of 318
Jendrzejewski1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRutkowski4wins
AwayJendrzejewski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJendrzejewski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRutkowski75%3 of 4
AwayJendrzejewski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rutkowski4Jendrzejewski6n = 10Jendrzejewski took 6 of 10
S2Rutkowski4Jendrzejewski6n = 10Jendrzejewski took 6 of 10
S3Rutkowski4Jendrzejewski6n = 10Jendrzejewski took 6 of 10
S4Rutkowski3Jendrzejewski2n = 5Rutkowski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRutkowskiJendrzejewskiR − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.836.5−4.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRutkowskiJendrzejewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime806 / 1433 vs 369 / 75456.3%48.9%806 / 1433 vs 369 / 754Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RutkowskiRutkowski 1.80/Jendrzejewski 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rutkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rutkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 05:35M. Rutkowski29611661P. Jendrzejewski4011711113
LSep 17 · 09:00M. Rutkowski28125471P. Jendrzejewski43101111113
WSep 16 · 10:55M. Rutkowski4812167133P. Jendrzejewski46101411111
WSep 5 · 24:20M. Rutkowski381413113P. Jendrzejewski28121150
LSep 4 · 21:45M. Rutkowski199550P. Jendrzejewski331111113
LAug 16 · 21:25M. Rutkowski4146111192P. Jendrzejewski46111176113
WAug 16 · 16:55M. Rutkowski47681111113P. Jendrzejewski4311118672
WAug 6 · 23:20M. Rutkowski331111113P. Jendrzejewski207670
LAug 6 · 24:10M. Rutkowski188550P. Jendrzejewski331111113
LAug 5 · 19:15M. Rutkowski176650P. Jendrzejewski331111113
M. Rutkowski10
WSep 21 · 10:05M. Sklensky1.5474131192M. Rutkowski2.351111117113LSep 21 · 08:30M. Rutkowski1.85651151K. Kapik1.8011118113LSep 21 · 06:50M. Rutkowski2.403260M. Sklensky1.501111113LSep 21 · 05:35M. Rutkowski1.80611661P. Jendrzejewski1.9011711113LSep 21 · 04:00M. Rutkowski2.408660K. Wloczko1.501111113WSep 21 · 03:00M. Rutkowski1.57111272113K. Wisniewski2.25710111162LSep 18 · 14:15M. Rutkowski3.307890M. Olejnik1.271111113LSep 18 · 12:35M. Sklensky1.651111133M. Rutkowski2.1088110WSep 18 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80118111192M. Rutkowski1.90911135113WSep 18 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.661111123D. Kostal2.0094100
P. Jendrzejewski10
WSep 21 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski1.65129145133K. Wisniewski2.0510111211112LSep 21 · 06:25K. Wloczko1.52111148113P. Jendrzejewski2.3569111152WSep 21 · 05:35M. Rutkowski1.80611661P. Jendrzejewski1.9011711113LSep 21 · 04:50P. Jendrzejewski1.85811981K. Kapik1.8011711113LSep 21 · 03:40P. Jendrzejewski2.35712641M. Sklensky1.52111011113WSep 17 · 14:15D. Solilo2.40641181P. Jendrzejewski1.5011119113LSep 17 · 13:25G. Poliniewicz1.85911117113P. Jendrzejewski1.7911871182LSep 17 · 11:20K. Kapik1.80911711113P. Jendrzejewski1.8511511992WSep 17 · 10:30M. Olbrycht1.99136561P. Jendrzejewski1.68111111113WSep 17 · 09:00M. Rutkowski1.74125471P. Jendrzejewski1.90101111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Rutkowski
P. Jendrzejewski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.