TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Mateusz Rutkowski
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171210711211116
Karol Wisniewski
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Wisniewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
1171210711211116
H2H Mateusz Rutkowski 4–5 Karol Wisniewski Mateusz Rutkowski has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:54What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Rutkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rutkowski 1705 vs Wisniewski 1600
Rutkowski
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rutkowski 40% vs Wisniewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rutkowski 60% vs Wisniewski 30%
Rutkowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rutkowski -2 · Wisniewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rutkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rutkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRutkowski 1.57 / Wisniewski 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Rutkowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13164155
Rutkowski1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 360 of 507
Up 2–0, closes it98% 176 of 180
Up 1–0, closes it89% 284 of 318
Wisniewski2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 211 of 552
Down 0–1, comes back19% 65 of 343
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 208
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeRutkowski4wins
AwayWisniewski5wins
5 of 9 to a deciderWisniewski leads 5–4, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRutkowski66.7%4 of 6
AwayWisniewski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rutkowski6Wisniewski3n = 9Rutkowski took 6 of 9
S2Rutkowski4Wisniewski5n = 9Wisniewski took 5 of 9
S3Rutkowski5Wisniewski4n = 9Rutkowski took 5 of 9
S4Rutkowski2Wisniewski5n = 7Wisniewski took 5 of 7
S5Rutkowski2Wisniewski3n = 5Wisniewski took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricRutkowskiWisniewskiR − WBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match39.240.2−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRutkowskiWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime804 / 1428 vs 980 / 218056.3%45%804 / 1428 vs 980 / 2180Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RutkowskiRutkowski 1.57/Wisniewski 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Rutkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rutkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 18 · 09:45M. Rutkowski34911681K. Wisniewski4011711113
LAug 14 · 24:10M. Rutkowski4311411892K. Wisniewski48611911113
WAug 12 · 23:45M. Rutkowski471111410113K. Wisniewski4897111292
WAug 11 · 23:45M. Rutkowski3911611113K. Wisniewski29711561
LAug 10 · 21:00M. Rutkowski4171111482K. Wisniewski46116711113
LApr 24 · 12:20M. Rutkowski249690K. Wisniewski331111113
WFeb 15 · 20:50M. Rutkowski42134113113K. Wisniewski47111161182
WJan 23 · 13:45M. Rutkowski341112113K. Wisniewski2371060
LJan 16 · 12:05M. Rutkowski491161011112K. Wisniewski48911123133
M. Rutkowski10
LSep 21 · 04:00M. Rutkowski2.408660K. Wloczko1.501111113LSep 18 · 14:15M. Rutkowski3.307890M. Olejnik1.271111113LSep 18 · 12:35M. Sklensky1.651111133M. Rutkowski2.1088110WSep 18 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80118111192M. Rutkowski1.90911135113WSep 18 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.661111123D. Kostal2.0094100LSep 18 · 09:45M. Rutkowski1.63911681K. Wisniewski2.1011711113WSep 17 · 19:40M. Rutkowski1.531111123D. Solilo2.3889100WSep 17 · 18:30M. Rutkowski1.201111113A. Mugowski4.333580WSep 17 · 17:20M. Rutkowski1.221111143K. Rudomina4.0098120WSep 17 · 16:05M. Lukaszewski4.0017101271M. Rutkowski1.22191210113
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 21 · 04:25M. Sklensky1.351511113K. Wisniewski2.9513480WSep 18 · 13:50M. Sklensky1.37101191192K. Wisniewski2.80124118113LSep 18 · 13:00A. Daniel1.5011122123K. Wisniewski2.3551011101LSep 18 · 12:10K. Wisniewski1.68111113672D. Kostal2.05351511113LSep 18 · 10:30K. Wisniewski4.55661171M. Olejnik1.1011119113WSep 18 · 09:45M. Rutkowski1.63911681K. Wisniewski2.1011711113LSep 18 · 08:30K. Wisniewski3.107920M. Sklensky1.331111113LSep 18 · 06:50K. Wisniewski2.108870D. Kostal1.651111113LSep 18 · 05:35K. Wisniewski2.309470J. Stecyszyn1.551111113LSep 18 · 04:00K. Wisniewski2.95751251K. Wloczko1.35111110113
Upcoming Matches
M. Rutkowski
Sep 21 · 05:35M. Rutkowski1.80P. Jendrzejewski1.90—Sep 21 · 06:50M. Rutkowski2.40M. Sklensky1.50—Sep 21 · 08:30M. Rutkowski1.66K. Kapik2.00—Sep 21 · 09:20M. Rutkowski1.80P. Jendrzejewski1.90—Sep 21 · 10:05M. Rutkowski2.35M. Sklensky1.54—Sep 21 · 11:20M. Rutkowski1.49K. Wisniewski2.19—Sep 21 · 12:35M. Rutkowski1.60G. Poliniewicz1.97—Sep 21 · 13:50M. Rutkowski1.59K. Kapik2.00—
K. Wisniewski
Sep 21 · 05:15K. Wisniewski2.95K. Wloczko1.36—Sep 21 · 07:15K. Wisniewski2.00K. Kapik1.71—Sep 21 · 08:05K. Wisniewski2.10P. Jendrzejewski1.60—Sep 21 · 09:00K. Wisniewski3.00M. Sklensky1.33—Sep 21 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.00K. Kapik1.71—Sep 21 · 11:20K. Wisniewski2.19M. Rutkowski1.49—Sep 21 · 13:25K. Wisniewski2.07P. Jendrzejewski1.54—Sep 21 · 14:15K. Wisniewski1.97G. Poliniewicz1.60—
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