TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Miroslav Sklensky
Home
1.54
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7114111311117911
Mateusz Rutkowski
Away
2.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:27 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Sklensky to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
7114111311117911
H2H Miroslav Sklensky 5–0 Mateusz Rutkowski Mateusz Rutkowski has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Sklensky beat Rutkowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (60%)
Sklensky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Sklensky
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sklensky 1829 vs Rutkowski 1676
Sklensky
Wrong
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sklensky 80% vs Rutkowski 20%
Sklensky
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sklensky 70% vs Rutkowski 40%
Sklensky
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sklensky -1 · Rutkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Sklensky) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rutkowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSklensky 1.54 / Rutkowski 2.35
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Sklensky)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13167459
Sklensky1.54
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 220 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it97% 119 of 123
Up 1–0, closes it83% 161 of 193
Rutkowski2.35
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 126 of 304
Down 0–1, comes back23% 41 of 181
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSklensky5wins
AwayRutkowski0wins
2 of 5 to a deciderSklensky leads 5–0, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSklensky100%3 of 3
AwayRutkowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sklensky3Rutkowski2n = 5Sklensky took 3 of 5
S2Sklensky3Rutkowski2n = 5Sklensky took 3 of 5
S3Sklensky4Rutkowski1n = 5Sklensky took 4 of 5
S4Sklensky3Rutkowski0n = 3Sklensky took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSklenskyRutkowskiS − RBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.631.8+8.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSklenskyRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime679 / 1135 vs 807 / 143459.8%56.3%679 / 1135 vs 807 / 1434Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SklenskySklensky 1.54/Rutkowski 2.35
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.8%
Sklensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rutkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 21 · 06:50M. Sklensky331111113M. Rutkowski113260
WSep 18 · 12:35M. Sklensky351111133M. Rutkowski2788110
WSep 15 · 09:20M. Sklensky4161212113M. Rutkowski3711101061
WAug 31 · 15:00M. Sklensky49118811113M. Rutkowski4681111972
WAug 10 · 16:30M. Sklensky45391111113M. Rutkowski3811117542
M. Sklensky10
LSep 21 · 09:00M. Sklensky1.40551191K. Wisniewski2.6511113113WSep 21 · 07:40K. Wloczko1.901111991M. Sklensky1.8013811113WSep 21 · 06:50M. Rutkowski2.403260M. Sklensky1.501111113WSep 21 · 06:00M. Sklensky1.411111133K. Kapik2.6049110WSep 21 · 04:25M. Sklensky1.351511113K. Wisniewski2.9513480WSep 21 · 03:40P. Jendrzejewski2.35712641M. Sklensky1.52111011113LSep 18 · 13:50M. Sklensky1.37101191192K. Wisniewski2.80124118113WSep 18 · 12:35M. Sklensky1.651111133M. Rutkowski2.1088110LSep 18 · 11:20M. Sklensky2.55129110M. Olejnik1.461411133WSep 18 · 10:05A. Daniel2.05101360M. Sklensky1.651215113
M. Rutkowski10
WSep 21 · 09:20M. Rutkowski1.801110811123P. Jendrzejewski1.90612116102LSep 21 · 08:30M. Rutkowski1.85651151K. Kapik1.8011118113LSep 21 · 06:50M. Rutkowski2.403260M. Sklensky1.501111113LSep 21 · 05:35M. Rutkowski1.80611661P. Jendrzejewski1.9011711113LSep 21 · 04:00M. Rutkowski2.408660K. Wloczko1.501111113WSep 21 · 03:00M. Rutkowski1.57111272113K. Wisniewski2.25710111162LSep 18 · 14:15M. Rutkowski3.307890M. Olejnik1.271111113LSep 18 · 12:35M. Sklensky1.651111133M. Rutkowski2.1088110WSep 18 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80118111192M. Rutkowski1.90911135113WSep 18 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.661111123D. Kostal2.0094100
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