Siddharta Almeida vs Luis Kraus 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT

Challenger Series TTOchsenhausen, Germany

Played Oct 12Finished

Siddharta Almeida

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1210117118––––

Luis Kraus

Away

1.85

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:27 and never touched: 56.9% is still 56.9%

Graded at full time

Siddharta Almeida to win

56.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

59 points played in total.

Set by set

1210117118––––

H2H Siddharta Almeida 1–0 Luis Kraus Luis Kraus has won 0 of their 1 meetings.

Last 1 · 1–0Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Almeida

Almeida 1.80/Kraus 1.85

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

56.9%

Almeida · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Almeida won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 07:27

56.9%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

clears by 1.3pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Almeida

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

1-0 in 1

—

Too close

1 played, under the floor of 3

Rating (G2)

Almeida 1574 vs Kraus 1453

Almeida

Correct

both rated, 121 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Almeida 60% vs Kraus 40%

Almeida

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Almeida 50% vs Kraus 30%

Almeida

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Almeida +1 · Kraus +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Almeida) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kraus: form 40%, the price implies 54%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsAlmeida 1.80 / Kraus 1.85

Signal prob.57% / 43%

Edge (Almeida)+1.3pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 1 meeting

HomeAlmeida1wins

AwayKraus0wins

Almeida leads 1–0.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed

3–0Straight, home1

3–1Four sets, home0

3–2Decider, home0

2–3Decider, away0

1–3Four sets, away0

0–3Straight, away0

This 1 meeting

MetricAlmeidaKrausA − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.025.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricAlmeidaKrausBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 37 vs 66 / 18654.1%35.5%20 / 37 vs 66 / 186Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.632.0per match

Challenger Series TT · #13282143

Almeida1.80

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 20 days ago (Sep 22) · back after a break

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Kraus1.85

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 17 days ago (Sep 25) · back after a break

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog27% won 18 of 66

Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 38

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 26

Siddharta Almeida vs Luis Kraus 3-0 · Challenger Series TT

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Siddharta Almeida vs Luis Kraus 3-0 · Challenger Series TT

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.