Vadim Reva vs Maksym Karelov · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts 19:35Scheduled

Vadim Reva

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Head to head

12 – 12

All 24 meetings · 50.0%

Last 10 · 3–7

Maksym Karelov

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Compare players

Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsReva 1.80 / Karelov 1.909

Round robin · match 15 of 15

5 of 15 played

Group 17 of 18 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
1	Hennadii Buianover	1–0	3–0	4
2	Andrii Sydorenko 1979	1–0	3–0	4
3	Vadim RevaThis match	1–1	3–3	3
4	Maksym KarelovThis match	1–1	3–4	3
5	Ruslan Serhyenko	1–1	3–5	3
6	Valerii Lukianevych	0–2	3–6	3

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeReva3wins

AwayKarelov7wins

2 of 10 to a deciderKarelov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeReva66.7%2 of 3

AwayKarelov85.7%6 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Reva3Karelov7n = 10Karelov took 7 of 10

S2Reva5Karelov5n = 10split evenly

S3Reva4Karelov6n = 10Karelov took 6 of 10

S4Reva1Karelov4n = 5Karelov took 4 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricRevaKarelovR − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.536.3−2.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricRevaKarelovBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 393 vs 47 / 12955.5%36.4%218 / 393 vs 47 / 129Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.4per match

Setka Cup · #13281754

Reva1.80

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite66% won 68 of 103

Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43

Up 1–0, closes it84% 51 of 61

Karelov1.91

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog33% won 29 of 87

Down 0–1, comes back20% 9 of 45

Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32

Vadim Reva vs Maksym Karelov · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 15 of 15

Round robin before this match

Vadim Reva vs Maksym Karelov · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 15 of 15

Round robin before this match