Hennadii Buianover vs Vadim Reva 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Hennadii Buianover

Home

2.20

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1141210118––––

Vadim Reva

Away

1.62

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:30 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%

Graded at full time

Vadim Reva to win

60.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingHennadii Buianover above · Vadim Reva below

Set 1 · 11-4

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 11-8

Point 56 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Vadim Reva at 60.1%

56 points played in total.

H2H Hennadii Buianover 63–46 Vadim Reva Vadim Reva has won 46 of their 109 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Reva

Buianover 2.20/Reva 1.61

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

60.1%

Reva · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Buianover won

The pickConfirm

Sealed 13:30

60.1%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 1.8pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Reva

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

63-46 in 109

Buianover

Correct

gap of 17 in 109, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Buianover 1189 vs Reva 1316

Reva

Wrong

both rated, 127 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Buianover 40% vs Reva 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Buianover 30% vs Reva 70%

Reva

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Buianover -2 · Reva -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Reva) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Reva: form 40%, the price implies 62%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBuianover 2.20 / Reva 1.615

Signal prob.40% / 60%

Edge (Reva)-1.8pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBuianover7wins

AwayReva3wins

4 of 10 to a deciderBuianover leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBuianover87.5%7 of 8

AwayRevan = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Buianover8Reva2n = 10Buianover took 8 of 10

S2Buianover4Reva6n = 10Reva took 6 of 10

S3Buianover6Reva4n = 10Buianover took 6 of 10

S4Buianover3Reva3n = 6split evenly

S5Buianover3Reva1n = 4Buianover took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricBuianoverRevaB − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.335.0+4.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBuianoverRevaBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 395 vs 217 / 39140.3%55.5%159 / 395 vs 217 / 391Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.2per match

Setka Cup · #13281463

Buianover2.20

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 08)

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog34% won 48 of 143

Down 0–1, comes back11% 9 of 81

Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56

Reva1.61

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 08)

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite66% won 68 of 103

Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43

Up 1–0, closes it84% 51 of 61

Hennadii Buianover vs Vadim Reva 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Hennadii Buianover vs Vadim Reva 3-0 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.